Learn why Eugene Fama, the Nobel Memorial prize winner, joins an illustrious list of thinkers, economists and officials who have claimed (for decades) that central banks aren’t central! Not to money supply. Fama calls it ‘monetary porn’.
[Emil’s Summary] The final setting of Margaret Atwood’s The Handmaid’s Tale occurs well into the future, at a symposium of historians examining the Handmaid era. Your podcaster expects a similar, future gathering of scholars evaluating the Time of CoVid. They’ll likely conclude it was an economic and political bankruptcy; a mathematical and moral fiasco. Still, it wasn’t all bad, and this podcaster imagines that sitting at the back of the room a lowly assistant will indecorously interrupt proceedings with, “At least the Funny Flu allowed a new Cannonball Run that stood for ages!”
Before security could be called to escort this violator of stodgy proceedings out – the iconoclast would blithely explain, that the Cannonball Run is an unofficial, entirely illegal 2,800 mile (4,500 kilometer) car race from New York City’s Red Ball Garage to the Portofino Hotel in Los Angeles. That the pre-‘Rona record was 27 hours, 25 minutes. That with Captain Trips clearing the roads of grandmas, convoys, smokey, panda and the fuzz the new record was set at an eyelid peeling 25 hours, 55 minutes. And that two general documentaries were released on the subject, including the Cannonball Run II – which is in your podcaster’s sincere, very unprofessional opinion the best documentary ensemble cast ever, including stars: Burt Reynolds, Dom DeLuise, Dean Martin, Sammy Davis Jr., Shirley MacLaine, Frank Sinatra and Jackie Chan, among others.
And it is the ensemble cast that makes this 22nd episode of Making Sense a special one. We try to answer three questions: which paradigm do central banks inhabit, was Aristotle an idiot, and are low rates stimulative? In trying to answer them we turn to Jeff Snider. But also, Aristotle himself, and Ben Bernanke, Benoit Mandelbrot, the Bride, Christopher Nolan, the Cohen Brothers, Cormac McCarthy, Eugene Fama, Henri Poincaré, Hugh Hendry, Janet Yellen, Jay Powell, Jeb Hensarling, Joe Rogan, the Joker, Keith McCullough, Louis Bachelier, Milton Friedman, Paul Samuelson, Plato, Robert Brown, Ronald Coase, Socrates, Steve Keen, Thomas S. Kuhn, Two-Face and William F. Buckley Jr.
00:05 Eugene Fama, Nobel Memorial Prize winner, in a recent interview, said central banks are in the illusion business
01:36 Who was Louis Bachelier? How did he set the groundwork for modern, mathematical finance?
03:07 Who was Henri Poincaré? How does his embrace of unpredictability contrast with Economics’ claim of certainty?
08:01 Who was Robert Brown? What does his description of the movement of particles have to do with stocks?
09:12 Who were Paul Samuelson and Benoit Mandelbrot? How did they clear a path for Fama’s efficient market hypothesis?
11:31 Fama accuses central banks of monetary pornography; entertaining, but not the real thing
14:21 Fama also states that stock markets are true – looking (deep?) into the bright future. Wut?! Huh!?
16:55 Core consumer price inflation hit a new 30-year high in the United States. Congrats Jay Powell?
18:59 Fama claims there’s no control of money supply and avers inflation is beyond the control of central banks
25:10 Efficient (Stock) Market Hypothesis? Or have equities been seduced by central bank public relations?
Eugene Fama’s Efficient View of Stimulus Porn: https://bit.ly/2Y0kk9t
Fama 2: No Inflation For Old Central Banks: https://bit.ly/3gYVuhA
Eugene Fama Interview (Inflation is Totally Out of the Control of Central Banks): https://bit.ly/2Y1Y7aY
Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7