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No Doubt, There Really Will Be Two “L’s” In Payrolls

By |2020-12-04T17:10:47-05:00December 4th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

Bad news is good news? The payroll report for November 2020, like those of the previous four months, have only further corroborated and confirmed the untimely death of the recovery. Since actual recovery can take only a “V” shape, then the end of the “V” necessarily means the end of recovery.In the twisted world of mainstream assumptions, however, fret none. [...]

Your K Is Little More Than The Identifying Details Of This 2nd L

By |2020-12-02T17:52:46-05:00December 2nd, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

ADP reports today that, for the fifth consecutive month, the labor market recovery everyone had hoped for has instead been transformed into something else entirely. According to the firm, private payrolls expanded by just 307,000 in November 2020 from October. That’s the slowest pace since July, and, most important of all, leaves the private US economy near 10 million short [...]

Counting The Corroborated Stall, Not The Coming Lawfare Election Mess

By |2020-11-04T16:20:25-05:00November 4th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

While we wait for the electoral count to be sorted out by what we hope are competent and honest people (not holding our breath), there’s a greater muddle growing where it actually counts and where it’s never fully nor properly accounted. By a large and growing number of accounts, the US economy’s rebound seems to have stalled out back around [...]

What’s Job (cuts) Got To Do With It (everything)

By |2020-10-01T19:34:47-04:00October 1st, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Survivor’s euphoria, but then what? Reopening momentum, though would that be enough on its own? More of a concern, the uptrend was heavily infused by government intervention. How much was organic, how much wastefully artificial (in the sense of “stimulus”; as economic aid, it was necessary)? So many questions, so much to try and sort out as we enter the [...]

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