consumer goods

Investment Risk These Days Includes The Census Bureau

By |2016-05-27T13:02:18-04:00May 27th, 2016|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

When I started in this business more than twenty years ago, I fully expected to be a profession investor in the purest sense of the term. I envisioned spending my days tearing apart corporate financials, especially balance sheets, and matching them to common sense expectations of new products and imaginative advances. It was the 1990’s, after all, and everything seemed [...]

Without Recovery There Is Every Need To Examine The Worst Case

By |2016-05-17T17:48:41-04:00May 17th, 2016|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

There is a great deal that is wrong with mainstream economic commentary, starting with its unwavering devotion to orthodox economics and unshakable faith in their “stimulus.” No matter how little is actually stimulated there is never any doubt that the media will simultaneously forget the last one while lavishing praise on the next one. It is, however, the actual economic [...]

Far Too Late, Industrial Production Revisions Predictably Erased The Recovery

By |2016-05-17T12:33:29-04:00May 17th, 2016|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Industrial production contracted for the eighth straight month in April, dropping 1.07% year-over-year. That’s a slight improvement from those prior months but likely only until April’s estimate is revised lower in the coming months. That has been the trend of late in both immediate terms as well as serious long-term revision to benchmarks. As far as the former, it suggests [...]

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