International events and a strong U.S. dollar and not decimating foreign markets as you would expect. And things look even better if viewed through the lens of local currencies. Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun breaks down the Currency Illusion.
When we think about the challenges facing an investor today, the big problems, the things we worry about that could cause a lot more harm than some interest rate hikes, are mostly outside the United States. China is prominent this weekend because of demonstrations against their zero-COVID policies. The Chinese people appear to be pretty well fed up with the [...]
Every great portfolio needs a volatility control. Steve Brennan and Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun discuss the need for Real Estate as part of overall allocation.
Whether we're in recession depends on who you ask. Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun looks at the data and compares this unique economic cycle with previous ones to come up with his conclusion.
Is the US economy on the verge of recession? Is it already in recession? We have several indications that the US economy is slowing and at least one that points to recession soon and maybe now. From the Conference Board's release of its Leading Economic Indicators last week: “The US LEI fell for an eighth consecutive month, suggesting the economy [...]
With inflation recently hitting a high not seen since 1981, it is now apparent that the factors that drove the disinflation trend of the last four decades are coming to an end. Globalization and demographics, the two big factors that combined to hold down prices and wages for so long, are reversing, and so too is the downtrend in prices, wages, [...]
Even in the current market, there are opportunities to invest. Steve Brennan and Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun discuss developing trends, shifts in the stock market, and when it may be time to switch from defense to offense.
What caused the rally in stocks and bonds last week? Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about the CPI numbers, the break in Treasury and Dollar uptrends, interest rates, and lag time to recession.
Is recession coming? When? Can we tell? Steve Brennan and Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun look at specific language from Jerome Powell, if there will be a soft landing, and whether a peak in interest rates gives any indication about the timing of a recession.
One thing I can tell you for certain about last week's big rally on Thursday and Friday: there were a lot of people who desperately wanted a good excuse to buy stocks. And buy they did after a better-than-expected CPI report Thursday morning, pushing the S&P 500 up nearly 6% on the week with all of that coming on Thursday [...]