Monthly Chart Review
July 2015
July 2015
July 2015
July 2015
Since the beginning of the year, the S&P 500 Index (IVV) has been trading within a range of 150 or so points, testing support at the 50-day moving average over 10 times, and testing support at the 200 twice. If it can’t hold the 2050 level, we might finally be looking at a breach of the 200-day MA, something that we haven't done [...]
7-12-15
Jeff Snider and I often speak of the balance sheet leverage effect in markets. In the modern system, computer models assess the risk of portfolios throughout the industry. One key input to any value at risk model is volatility. If the standard deviation of prices rises, the computer will tell the managers that there is a greater probability of losses [...]
The S&P 500 Index ((IVV)) zig-zagged with no certain direction for the first part of the year, gaining just under 2% during this somewhat volatile period. The index sits right below support at the 50-day moving average and is certain to retest the 200-day MA now that the Greeks voted against more austerity measures. We might finally be in the midst of the [...]
7-5-15
7-5-15
Much of the headlines about the referendum that is underway in Greece as I write this morning tell stories of confusion. What are the Greek people voting on? Officially, they are voting Yes or No on terms of a deal with creditors that is no longer on the table. Greek Prime Minister, Alexis Tsipras, says a No vote will give [...]
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