Alhambra Research

Tactical Update: Uncertainty Abounds

By |2020-10-13T13:22:44-04:00October 13th, 2020|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

This seems an opportune time to review the difference between Strategy and Tactics. Strategy and tactics are how we achieve our goals and objectives. In our specific case, the goals and objectives are financial in nature. Strategy is the path we will take to get from where we are today to where we want to be tomorrow; it is the [...]

Monthly Macro Monitor – September 2020

By |2020-09-28T19:14:41-04:00September 28th, 2020|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Stocks|

The economic data over the last month continued to improve but the breadth of improvement has narrowed. Additionally, while most of the economic data series are still improving, the rate of change, as Jeff pointed out recently, has slowed. I guess that isn't that surprising as the initial phase of the recovery comes to an end. 2nd quarter was a [...]

Uh Oh, The Dollar Has Caught A Bid

By |2020-09-23T19:34:15-04:00September 23rd, 2020|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Stocks|

Anyone who follows Alhambra knows that we keep an eye on the dollar. It is a very important part of our process of identifying the economic environment. A rising dollar, when combined with a falling rate of growth, can be a lethal combination. That was the situation in March and of course during the financial crisis of 2008. So the [...]

Monthly Market Monitor – August 2020

By |2020-09-06T22:20:12-04:00September 6th, 2020|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

Many of the weak dollar trends I noted in June’s update have moderated - even as the dollar has weakened further. US stocks surged over the last month, with growth indices leaving their value counterparts in the dust…again. About the only exception on the equity side was China, which outperformed for much the same reason as US growth – technology [...]

Monthly Macro Monitor – August 2020

By |2020-08-20T15:33:20-04:00August 20th, 2020|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks, Taxes/Fiscal Policy|

One of the advantages we enjoy here at Alhambra is the opportunity to interact with a lot of investors. We talk to hundreds of individual investors on a monthly basis, giving us a front-row seat to everyone’s fear and greed. Economic data tells us about the past, which isn’t particularly useful for investors focused on the future. Sentiment, though, is [...]

SPECIAL REPORT: Follow The Money – Volume 5

By |2020-08-10T13:26:33-04:00August 10th, 2020|Alhambra Research, Special Reports|

If the recession was the first "shoe to drop", what's the second...or third? The shock of the self-inflicted COVID recession is behind us. What we're all wondering now is what comes next? Will the economy recover to its previous state? Something better? Something worse? That will be determined by the second and third-order effects and they are already starting. Our Special [...]

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