Weekly Market Pulse: Time For A Taper Tantrum?

By |2021-09-20T05:28:39-04:00September 19th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

The Fed meets this week and is widely expected to say that it is talking about maybe reducing bond purchases sometime later this year or maybe next year or at least, someday. Jerome Powell will hold a press conference at which he'll tell us that markets have nothing to worry about because even if they taper QE, interest rates aren't [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 99, Part 3: When Everyone Understands Why The Dollar Goes Up, We Celebrate Our Show’s Demise

By |2021-09-17T19:49:17-04:00September 17th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

99.3 US Dollar Gains Value - Bad News for the World  ———Ep 99.3 Summary———In 1971, US Treasury Secretary John Connally told a group of European finance ministers that the US dollar "is our currency, but your problem." Half a century later, the problem has grown bigger encompassing the whole world. A world that is short of dollars. ———See It——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiAlhambra [...]

Dollar Warning Update From The Islands Which Started It

By |2021-09-17T18:12:03-04:00September 17th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The first seeds of the eventual eurodollar bloom, in domestic US terms, were sown all way back in sixteen – as in the year 1916. Believe it or not, the Federal Reserve Act, then only a few years old, had been modified so that banking syndicates (those able to raise the princely sum of $1 million capital) could form what [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 99, Part 2: Their Get Out of Deflation Free Card

By |2021-09-16T19:57:56-04:00September 16th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

99.2 LABOR SHORTAGE! A Fed 'Get out of Jail Free' card ———Ep 99.2 Summary———Labor shortages are normal, at the microscale, from time to time, in this or that industry. Yet since 2008, establishment economists use "labor shortage" as an excuse to: A) support a misleadingly low unemployment rate and, B) explain away the participation problem. ———See It——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiAlhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisLArt: https://davidparkins.com/ [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 99, Part 1: What’s Really Killing The Economy’s Potential?

By |2021-09-15T20:00:07-04:00September 15th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

99.1 What's Killing Labor Force Participation in the USA?  ———Ep 99.1 Summary———'Maybe the economy isn't in as good a condition as you economists / academics / technocrats think it is,' says the labor force participation rate. 'The economy is in fantastic shape,' says the unemployment rate. Which one is correct? ———See It——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiAlhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisLArt: https://davidparkins.com/ ———Hear It——— Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———Ep 99.1 [...]

China’s Actual Base Affects Inflation As Well As Prosperity

By |2021-09-15T17:23:39-04:00September 15th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Those pesky base effects. For most of the world’s economic data, these have contributed much to creating the misimpression the global economy is doing well, if not on fire. By comparing data now (or a month ago) to the same a year earlier, boy can it look splendid. In the stock business, they’re called easy comps.The Chinese, however, have just [...]

Bills Flipping The Debt Ceiling

By |2021-09-14T19:46:54-04:00September 14th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The dollar stopped falling on January 6, beginning a reversal which has lasted more than eight months. This forewarning was joined two days later when TIPS breakevens crossed, inverting the 5-year when compared to the 10-year. About a week after that, T-bills.In other words, as I had written up last week, there actually were quite a few contrary indications in [...]

CPI Comes ‘Home’ To The Other Side of Inverted TIPS

By |2021-09-14T16:52:43-04:00September 14th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

January 2021 was, it may have seemed, only the start of something big. Huge. Colossal. Coronavirus vaccines had been discovered, publicized, and rolled out, meaning for the first time a real shot at ending the pandemic. The world could quickly get back to normal, the economy recovering its footing, and between January and that bright future Uncle Sam was going [...]

Honestly Not Easy

By |2021-09-13T18:44:08-04:00September 13th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Central banking’s real monetary power comes from a different kind of printing. We’re all taught and told from the very beginning that it's derived from enjoying the money printer, the ability to stack currency at will. No. In actual fact, monetary policies are all money-less leaving “monetary” authorities to employ instead the press which prints words.Deciding which words, and more [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: I Have Questions

By |2021-09-13T01:05:29-04:00September 13th, 2021|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks, Taxes/Fiscal Policy|

The wise man is one who knows what he does not know. - Lao Tzu or Socrates or neither   It ain't what you don't know that gets you in trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so. - Mark Twain or Josh Billings or Artemus Ward or none of the above   Stocks are at all-time [...]

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