The Weekly Snapshot
6-28-15
On the Doorstep of a Fed Rate Hike Cycle
The Fed has weighed in with their opinion of the economy. Given their economic assessment, they have presented their opinion of the appropriate level for interest rates. Interestingly, investors don't seem to be of the same opinion as the committee on the appropriate level for rates or the timing of upcoming interest rate moves. Perhaps they view the economy as [...]
A Closer Look: Market Cap
While the S&P 500 Cap-Weighted Index ((IVV)) came close to to new all-time highs in the last week, the index has been trading within a tight range since February. The index has been straddling the 50-day moving average for some time now. If it can’t blast through the 2120 level, look for the index to retest the 50-day moving average yet [...]
Bi-Weekly Economic Review
6-21-15
The Weekly Snapshot
6-21-15
Greek Scenario Analysis
Here is a simple conditional probability table one might use to gauge the potential risks and rewards stemming from the Greek credit negotiations. The table considers 3 paths which may arise from ongoing talks. It assigns a probability for each and what an investor might expect for market returns under each scenario. Given recent events, the probabilities in the table have [...]
Peter St. Onge Research
June 2015: Will A Euro Crisis Set Off A Recession?
Monthly Chart Review
June 2015
Sector Momentum Update
June 2015
Global Asset Allocation Update
June 2015
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