auto sales

Entering The Window of Gigantic Positives

By |2020-06-09T18:58:23-04:00June 9th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

According to Mexico’s Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI), the production of light automobiles rebounded in May 2020. Up more than 494% from April, the country managed to piece together 22 thousand units last month. And that was still 93.7% fewer than had been assembled during May 2019.Auto production had been down almost 99%, so the rebound to -93.7% [...]

How Much “V” In Another (minus) 98?

By |2020-05-15T16:49:59-04:00May 15th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Technically, by showing one decimal place maybe this doesn’t exactly qualify. Then again, I was only half serious. When Mexico’s government reported earlier this week that auto production fell by almost 100% in April, I wrote it was suggestive of the great possibly lingering difficulties being forecast for the other side of this economic dislocation. Automakers, basically, aren’t buying the [...]

Hints of the Second Wave (Demand Destruction) Showing Up Right At The Start of the First

By |2020-04-15T15:30:46-04:00April 15th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

What’s going on right now in the global economy is mostly the first of two pieces. Waves, if you like. The economic shutdown is an artificial dislocation, a non-economic factor that is interrupting regular activity and business for non-economic reasons. Because it is near-total in most places, this first piece is going to produce ridiculous numbers across all the economic [...]

Neither US Retail Nor Industry Ended 2019 In A Good Place

By |2020-01-17T16:26:33-05:00January 17th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

US retail sales were disappointing in December 2019, though it depends upon your perspective for what that means. Unadjusted, total retail sales were 6.01% more last month than the same month of the prior year. It was the highest year-over-year growth rate since October 2018. The reason was entirely due to base effects. You might remember Christmas 2018 for its [...]

More Trends That Ended 2019 The Wrong Way

By |2020-01-07T18:28:37-05:00January 7th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Auto sales in 2019 ended on a skid. Still, the year as a whole wasn’t nearly as bad as many had feared. Last year got off on the wrong foot in the aftermath of 2018’s landmine, with auto sales like consumer spending down pretty sharply to begin it. Spending did rebound in mid-year if only somewhat, enough, though, to add [...]

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