Currencies

Did The Real Dollar Stand Up?

By |2020-09-29T19:13:16-04:00September 29th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Back in early June 2018, the Brazilian real was in free-fall (again). Never bothering to explain why or what was happening, the country’s top central banker just gathered the media together in front of him confident in how what he’d say to its members would be reported as fact. As it was. Not just by Brazil’s press, either. Even if [...]

Why Aren’t Bond Yields Flying Higher Globally? Exhibit A: Germany/Europe

By |2020-09-29T17:45:02-04:00September 29th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Mario Draghi was a very polarizing figure for him to be atop a central bank that has no natural constituency. Sure, there is a European Central Bank but there remain National Central Banks which had retained their own powers and influence following the monetary union. Draghi’s approach rubbed critics the wrong way, a growing legion of them, a lot of [...]

Before Hume, Before Carnegie

By |2020-09-28T20:01:19-04:00September 28th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

For as long as there have been people, there have been great people who have spent their time thinking about money. For as long as money has existed, the reasons to commit so much to studying its beautiful and horrific effects have been obvious. It’s really only been the last half century when ignorance had become the preferred position.So much [...]

Monthly Macro Monitor – September 2020

By |2020-09-28T19:14:41-04:00September 28th, 2020|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Stocks|

The economic data over the last month continued to improve but the breadth of improvement has narrowed. Additionally, while most of the economic data series are still improving, the rate of change, as Jeff pointed out recently, has slowed. I guess that isn't that surprising as the initial phase of the recovery comes to an end. 2nd quarter was a [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 28 (Only 1 Part): Bank Reserves & Brent Johnson

By |2020-09-28T15:16:08-04:00September 28th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN   iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI   Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza   TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z   Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M   Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY   Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ   Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO   Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh   Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB   Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa   SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK   PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt   PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr4   ———WHO———   Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP   Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski   Art: https://davidparkins.com/   Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments as Bob Hope.  Brent Johnson, Chief Executive Officer of Santiago Capital as [...]

Bubbles and Balance Sheets, Demanded (Money/Credit) Supply

By |2020-09-25T19:54:32-04:00September 25th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The term “balance sheet recession” is one that had come up more often a little more than half a decade ago. At the same time everyone at the Fed, especially Bill Dudley, was wondering why QE had kept coming up (way) short of every one of its goals, some of them began to speculate about this other thing. If the [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 27, Part 3: Duck and Cover, The July Consequences

By |2020-09-25T17:33:59-04:00September 25th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———WHO——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP   Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski   Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski, who turtle waxes. Artwork lined with graphite by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is “Steps” by Cushy at Epidemic Sound.   ———HOW——— 27.3 US Retail Sales and [...]

Small But Real Progress Carrying The Yen Carry Trade Into the Light

By |2020-09-25T17:21:44-04:00September 25th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Bill Dudley was a key guy at the Fed for a very long time. It is very important to point this out. Not only did he hold two of the central bank’s most crucial positions, he held them during the institution’s most critical moments. Dudley was Manager of the system’s Open Market Account in August 2007. On the seventh of [...]

Brief Summary Of Where Things Stand Getting Closer to Q4

By |2020-09-24T20:25:50-04:00September 24th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Flash PMI’s for September 2020 around the world add more evidence to the possibility of a global slowdown during the economy’s all-important rebound quarter. Q2 was the big downturn, and so it always going to be Q3 where the bounce back would be sharpest. While that has definitely been the case, concerns are mounting for what might follow in Q4. [...]

Uh Oh, The Dollar Has Caught A Bid

By |2020-09-23T19:34:15-04:00September 23rd, 2020|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Stocks|

Anyone who follows Alhambra knows that we keep an eye on the dollar. It is a very important part of our process of identifying the economic environment. A rising dollar, when combined with a falling rate of growth, can be a lethal combination. That was the situation in March and of course during the financial crisis of 2008. So the [...]

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