dollar

Two Years And Now It’s Getting Serious

By |2020-02-07T19:04:36-05:00February 7th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

We knew German Industrial Production for December 2019 was going to be ugly given what deStatis had reported for factory orders yesterday. In all likelihood, Germany’s industrial economy ended last year sinking and maybe too quickly. What was actually reported, however, exceeded every pessimistic guess and expectation – by a lot. IP absolutely plummeted in the final month of 2019. [...]

US Trade In December Was Too Much Oil

By |2020-02-05T15:48:30-05:00February 5th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

After a stunningly bad October and November, the Census Bureau reports US imports rebounded in December 2019 on a seasonally-adjusted basis. Having fallen below $200 billion for the first time since October 2017, total imports of goods rose to $205.8 billion in the final month of last year. However, most of that increase, two-thirds of it, was due to “industrial [...]

Why 2014? Less (Big) Banks, Fewer ‘Dollars’, No Growth

By |2020-01-15T17:22:55-05:00January 15th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

One of the biggest reasons why I always find the regulations explanation(s) so lacking is because of what is the biggest part of the scientific process. The excuses for problems in global liquidity and the dollar-based banking system in general have run the gamut of regulatory exercises. Who can forget, for one example, 2a7? That was 2016’s preferred explanation for [...]

De-dollarization By Default Is Not What You Might Think

By |2020-01-15T10:02:26-05:00January 14th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Last month, a group of central bank governors from across the South Pacific region gathered in Australia to move forward the idea of a KYC utility. If you haven’t heard of KYC, or know your customer, it is a growing legal requirement that is being, and has been, imposed on banks all over the world. Spurred by anti-money laundering efforts [...]

Not Abating, Not By A Longshot

By |2020-01-13T18:57:41-05:00January 13th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Since I advertised the release last week, here’s Mexico’s update to Industrial Production in November 2019. The level of production was estimated to have fallen by 1.8% from November 2018. It was up marginally on a seasonally-adjusted basis from its low in October. That doesn’t sound like much, -1.8%, but apart from recent months this would’ve been the third worst [...]

Global Headwinds and Disinflationary Pressures

By |2020-01-09T19:37:31-05:00January 9th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

I’m going to go back to Mexico for the third day in a row. First it was imports (meaning Mexico’s exports) then automobile manufacturing and now Industrial Production. I’ll probably come back to this tomorrow when INEGI updates that last number for November 2019. For now, through October will do just fine, especially in light of where automobile production is [...]

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