FX

Do Record Eurodollar Balances Matter? Not Even Slightly

By |2017-03-07T11:34:58-05:00March 7th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The BIS in its quarterly review published yesterday included a reference to the eurodollar market (thanks to M. Daya for pointing it out). The central bank to central banks, as the outfit is often called, is one of the few official institutions that have taken a more objective position with regard to the global money system. Of the very few [...]

That Escalated Quickly (In Rumors)

By |2017-03-02T17:55:03-05:00March 2nd, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

I honestly don’t know how much clearer it could possibly get. The mainstream continues to struggle to identify the causes of the “rising dollar” when in all cases it is decidedly simple. The more the dollar goes up, the more whatever counterparty country is paying for those dollars. The entire world is in a synthetic short position created decades ago, [...]

Time To Add Mexico?

By |2017-02-23T18:20:50-05:00February 23rd, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Is Mexico about to go down the same road as China, Brazil, and so many others have the past few years? The more interesting question may be what took so long, if they are. Mexico’s central bank has been forced into action again, after interjecting itself last month supplying dollars directly to Mexican banks, as well as the same in [...]

Currency Chaos (Con’t)

By |2017-01-17T15:58:12-05:00January 17th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

There are a great many great things afoot, so it might be understandable some transferred excitement (or dread) into the realm of global currencies. The British are set to leave the European Union, though nobody really knows what that means let alone what it might lead to. While the US was closed for MLK remembrances, sterling was all over the [...]

The Path To Actual Reflation Could Be Very Complicated

By |2016-11-29T19:39:12-05:00November 29th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

After sticking around 53 bps since the middle of September, 1-month LIBOR has jumped almost 7 bps since November 11 to register above 60 bps for the first time in years. With the December 2016 FOMC meeting fast approaching, it is quite natural to assume eurodollar markets are picking up what has been “hawkishness” over recent weeks. This would be [...]

The Oil of ‘Dollars’, Japanese ‘Dollars’

By |2016-08-23T16:43:13-04:00August 23rd, 2016|Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Starting June 8, oil prices began falling again, reversing their more optimistic trend that had lingered since February 11 long after the usual correlation to CNY was broken. In fact, by the time WTI had peaked, CNY was already being meddled with again in clear PBOC interference. Despite being backward to what was 2015’s relationship of death, by July the [...]

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