monetary policy

EA GDP + GFC = HOLY CR$%

By |2020-04-30T16:58:55-04:00April 30th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Following along the same top-down model, what unites central bankers and socialists is equality. Handing over significant authority to either results in everyone being equally impoverished. And, therefore, those very authorities fighting over minute scraps so as to display some sense of accomplishment.In October 2015, safely nested within the cozy confines of Brookings, being paid handsomely to opine on matters [...]

GDP + GFC = Fragile

By |2020-04-29T17:04:00-04:00April 29th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

March 15 was when it all began to come down. Not the stock market; that had been in freefall already, beset by the rolling destruction of fire sale liquidations emanating out of the repo market (collateral side first). No matter what the Federal Reserve did or announced, there was no stopping the runaway devastation.It wasn’t until the middle of March [...]

The Greenspan Bell

By |2020-04-21T15:59:52-04:00April 21st, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

What set me off down the rabbit hole trying to chase modern money’s proliferation of products originally was the distinct lack of curiosity on the subject. This was the nineties, after all, where economic growth grew on trees. Reportedly. Why on Earth would anyone purposefully go looking for the tiniest cracks in the dam?My very first day on the job, [...]

The Greenspan Moon Cult

By |2020-03-04T15:27:59-05:00March 4th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Taking another look at what I wrote about repo and the latest developments yesterday, it may be worthwhile to spend some additional time on the “why” as it pertains to so much determined official blindness, an unshakeable devotion to otherwise easily explained lunar events. The short version: monetary authorities as well as the “experts” describe almost perfectly risk averse behavior [...]

Bonds Don’t Go Easy on ‘Easing’

By |2020-03-02T19:27:45-05:00March 2nd, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It’s interesting what the eurodollar futures curve has done today. Over the past several weeks, of course, the curve has collapsed though with much more focused buying at the front end of it. That’s understandable given the common scenario being priced in – that the Fed will reluctantly be forced into sizeable rate cuts very soon. In fact, the current [...]

Schaetze To That

By |2020-02-24T19:19:55-05:00February 24th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

When Mario Draghi sat down for his scheduled press conference on April 4, 2012, it was a key moment and he knew it. The ECB had finished up the second of its “massive” LTRO auctions only weeks before. Draghi was still relatively new to the job, having taken over for Jean-Claude Trichet the prior November amidst substantial turmoil. The non-standard [...]

Don’t Forget Europe

By |2020-02-03T19:14:54-05:00February 3rd, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

According to Eurostat last week, Europe’s win streak reached 27 quarters in Q4 2019. If you count winning solely by the sign in front of quarterly GDP changes, then Mario Draghi handed off to Christine Lagarde an expansion just one quarter shy of seven years. It’s supposed to be impressive. Lagarde, however, begins her tenure in very much the same [...]

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