new orders

More About Less New Orders

By |2021-09-30T19:26:13-04:00September 30th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The inventory saga, planetary in its reach. As you’ve heard, American demand for goods supercharged by the federal government’s helicopter combined with a much more limited capacity to rebound in the logistics of the goods economy left a nightmare for supply chains. As we’ve been writing lately, a highly unusual maybe unprecedented inventory cycle resulted (creating “inflation”).The worse the shipping [...]

Almost A Full Year of Tomorrows

By |2021-03-03T17:30:22-05:00March 3rd, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The ISM reported its manufacturing index at highs on Monday, then today releases its non-manufacturing headline falling sharply. The result is an odd appendage to post-2008 history where these sentiment indicators are concerned; they are upside down to the usual configuration when it’s been more likely manufacturing suffers while services are to a greater extent immune to each successive suppressing [...]

Being Forced To Be More Precise About The Most Serious Terms

By |2020-05-01T18:49:36-04:00May 1st, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

He called it “unfair competition.” That’s one way to describe it, surely not the proper way. But who could blame the guy? After all, these were not normal times though at the time hardly anyone had yet realized it.James J. Davis was the second person to hold the title Secretary of Labor. Appointed by Warren Harding, he began his tenure [...]

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