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Chart of Last Week: In Need of Official Address

By |2017-06-26T11:56:08-04:00June 26th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

According to the US Treasury, the calculated equivalent treasury bill yield for the 4-week maturity was 76 bps at Friday’s close. At such a short time frame there isn’t actually a single instrument that creates the rate, more of an amalgamation (spline) of various 4-week securities staggered on their own. The bill maturing this week, for example, closed last week [...]

Maybe A Bit More Complex Still?

By |2017-04-25T19:23:19-04:00April 25th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

One of the defining characteristics of the 2011 crisis was dollar swaps. Almost all attention was paid to PIIGS and focus on the European banks holding their debt, as well as the very real possibility that all would break up the euro. Behind all that was the same dollar troubles as in 2008, and for the very same reasons. The [...]

How We Got Here: Ignoring Even The Mathematics of Ideology When It Becomes Uncomfortable

By |2017-04-11T12:27:54-04:00April 11th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

On July 20, 2007, the much discussed slow-walk implementation of the Basel II framework was finally taking its form. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the Office of Thrift Supervision, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, all government agencies dealing in bank supervisory powers, issued a joint statement that day announcing an [...]

If You Believe There Was Too Much Money During The Monetary Panic, Then Why Not Heroin

By |2017-03-06T16:31:34-05:00March 6th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

November 2008 was an extremely busy month for authorities in the US. The financial markets had just undergone panic the month before, but rather than dissipate there were lingering indications that all was not yet over. On November 23, 2008, the Treasury Department, the FDIC, and the Federal Reserve issued a joint statement on Citigroup. The first two had agreed [...]

The Very Important Task Of Trying To Figure Out What Happened In The Middle

By |2017-02-08T18:09:31-05:00February 8th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The whole point of any “stimulus” is to buy time. The idea is to keep the economy busy or, in the case of more purely monetary policy, happy during that time so that the economy on the demand side can on its own heal. In the parlance of orthodox economics, “stimulus” reduces the output gap, the difference between current output [...]

There’s No Money In Monetary Policy, But There Are Feelings

By |2015-03-24T15:50:20-04:00March 24th, 2015|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Every other central bank in the world has at some point shifted their monetary policy framework to the world of secured short-term funding rather than unsecured. That shows the primacy of repo as opposed to what has been used almost exclusively in the US (and related eurodollars). The Federal Reserve has discussed letting go of the federal funds target before, [...]

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