taper

If Inflation, Why Not Christmas From Mexico?

By |2021-08-25T17:16:28-04:00August 25th, 2021|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The incidences of what’s downright bizarre have curiously become more frequent. Sign of the times. Pick your realm or timetable, there’s so much going wrong while completely disconnected from the “official” description of, or explanation for, whatever. Along these lines, did the US VP just warn America’s children from Singapore that Santa Claus’ legendary trade will be delayed, perhaps canceled?Summer [...]

Taper *Without* Tantrum

By |2021-08-16T19:46:53-04:00August 16th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Whomever actually coined the term “taper”, using it in the context of Federal Reserve QE for the first time, it wasn’t actually Ben Bernanke. On May 22, 2013, the central bank’s Chairman sat in front of Congressman Kevin Brady and used the phrase “step down in our pace of purchases.” No good, at least from the perspective of a media-driven [...]

CPI’s At Fives Yet Treasury Auctions

By |2021-08-11T20:01:39-04:00August 11th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

A momentous day, for sure, but one lost in what would turn out to be a seemingly endless sea of them. October 8, 2008, right in the thick of the world’s first global financial crisis (how could it have been global, surely not subprime mortgages?) the Federal Reserve took center stage; or tried to. Having bungled Lehman, botched AIG, and [...]

Go Early, Go Fast? Go Deflation

By |2021-08-03T18:16:01-04:00August 3rd, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Go early and go fast. This was the message FOMC Governor Christopher Waller wanted to send to the CNBC audience watching his interview yesterday on that channel. He was referring to the possible taper of QE6. In Waller’s view, if the US economy lives up to its current hype in the form of two more blowout jobs numbers, those would [...]

Tapering The Truth

By |2021-07-28T17:13:38-04:00July 28th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Ceremony and ritual are not just important concepts for priming and keeping faith, they are absolute essentials. There’s a reason why cult leaders make themselves appear - at every instance - indispensable while at the same time keeping their masses busy with nonsense. Can’t ever permit thinking too much lest the house of cards crash downward at the first slight [...]

Inflation Huge: Jay Powell Did Blink, But It Had *Nothing* To Do With ‘Taper’

By |2021-05-19T20:06:18-04:00May 19th, 2021|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

As usual, the focus went to the exact wrong place. In most people’s minds, the idea hammered home by the uniformly compliant financial press, it’s all about inflation and accommodative Federal Reserve policy. According to the current popular breeze, this along with Uncle Sam’s uncontrollable check-writing vigor has put the economy on course to overheating if not drastically so.Didn’t you [...]

Still TIC’ed Off In The Shadows In April

By |2020-06-17T17:10:09-04:00June 17th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

On March 15, 2013, the US Treasury Department issued a request for a “large position report” (17 CFR Part 420). Any institution holding $2 billion or more of the 2% notes expiring in February 2023 (10-year maturity) had until March 21 to disclose that fact to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (faxed disclosures accepted). The repo rate for [...]

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