treasury bills

When You Stop Reading After The Second Sentence

By |2017-07-18T16:14:36-04:00July 18th, 2017|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

On June 27, ECB President Mario Draghi opened that central bank’s international conference in Sintra, Portugal. Most media never made it past the first two sentences of his prepared remarks. For them, the verdict was already delivered in those few lines. They declared that Draghi declared monetary policy was working and the world was on its way at long last. [...]

Didn’t Notice the Proposed Changes To the SLR? Don’t Worry, Most Markets Didn’t Either

By |2017-07-11T16:14:20-04:00July 11th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The US Treasury released its first report (under Trump) on re-examining financial regulations and their impact on economic growth. The publication was little noticed because most people don’t much care about Supplemental Leverage Ratios (SLR), though they should. For decades, regulators allowed banks to operate under Basel rules as if capital ratios were sufficient criteria for identifying risks, only to [...]

Follow-Up on Bills; Supply Side

By |2017-06-26T16:51:54-04:00June 26th, 2017|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Returning to the theme of the parallel evolutionary developments in the early 20th century as compared to the last decades of it, in 1908 famed Gilded Age industrialist Andrew Carnegie wrote what seems today a misplaced article for New York Outlook magazine. The steel magnate lamented the state of American banking, which he called within his piece “at least one [...]

Chart of Last Week: In Need of Official Address

By |2017-06-26T11:56:08-04:00June 26th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

According to the US Treasury, the calculated equivalent treasury bill yield for the 4-week maturity was 76 bps at Friday’s close. At such a short time frame there isn’t actually a single instrument that creates the rate, more of an amalgamation (spline) of various 4-week securities staggered on their own. The bill maturing this week, for example, closed last week [...]

Memories of 2a7 Fade, But Commercial Paper Remains Relevant Anyway

By |2017-01-20T18:22:17-05:00January 20th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

If you are an enterprising financial firm with spare cash toward the end of the business day, you have several options for it. Primary among them is the Fed’s Reverse Repo (RRP) desk which will pay you 50 bps interest with your cash secured by both the reputation of the Federal Reserve as well as UST collateral. Given that option, [...]

When The ‘Risk-Free’ Rate Is Risk…

By |2016-09-14T12:31:26-04:00September 14th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Treasury bill rates have been trading notably higher of late, with the 3-month bill equivalent yield as much as 37 bps this week. Though it was the highest rate since November 2008, a true reading of bill history shows that it is not a matter of Fedearl Reserve policy “normalization.” Trading in bills, especially the 3-month, makes indications of risk [...]

Still Fragmentation

By |2015-12-21T17:39:53-05:00December 21st, 2015|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Picking up on the money market(s) discussion from this morning, bill rates once again were suggestively shallow. The 4-week T-bill was just 14 bps in “yield”, well below the Fed’s new “floor” of 25 bps; the 3-month bill was just 24 bps and behaving nothing like what would be expected. Federal funds remain well-behaved but that isn’t a major component [...]

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