yuan

More To Being De-dollared

By |2020-07-21T19:04:15-04:00July 21st, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It’s understandable to an extent. Central banks are omnipotent, central bankers therefore the nearest human equivalent of gods. That’s what we’re all taught, so if something happens somewhere to some market then we’re left to believe it was because one of the gods wanted it that way.Taking this globally, the Fed made a bunch of money in the aftermath of [...]

Huge, Massive Difference: De-dollarizing vs. Being De-dollared

By |2020-07-20T17:56:40-04:00July 20th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

There is a tremendous difference between the world de-dollarizing and those living in it being de-dollared. The former is a choice, the latter a fact of existence since August of 2007 (to varying degrees). Yet, most people, especially the “experts”, talk of only the first one as if that was all there is to it.Especially when it comes to China.We [...]

What’s *Really* Going On In China?

By |2020-04-17T16:29:12-04:00April 17th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Questioning the veracity of Chinese estimates (for anything) has always been something of an amateur sport. For a stat like real GDP, everyone “knows” that it is managed. In a complex world where an economic system for a billion and a half is incomprehensibly unpredictable, there’s really no other way to always hit your government’s mark (unless the Chinese are [...]

China’s First Virus-Filled Economic Data May Not Be All That Helpful

By |2020-03-02T12:21:30-05:00March 2nd, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

There were only two possibilities and both related to their release. Either the Communist Chinese government was going to delay them, or would just say, screw it, everyone knows they’re going to be bad so let ‘em fly. There weren’t any questions about the data itself. Sure enough, the first glimpse at China’s economy in its full virus effects was [...]

The TIC of CNY and China’s 2020 Risks

By |2020-02-19T17:23:14-05:00February 19th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

What’s going on in China? It’s a question that is on everyone’s mind. While most attention is focused on the unfolding human tragedy of the COVID-19 pandemic, the potential for it to be compounded by any economic fallout makes for even more urgency. The sad truth is that China was in rough shape heading into the coronavirus. How rough, though? [...]

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