Economy

Rough End of a Collateral Century

By |2017-07-28T13:24:35-04:00July 28th, 2017|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The entry of the United States into World War I placed a heavy financial burden on the government. The scale of such encumbrance was at the time almost unthinkable, and today is incomprehensible. Federal government expenditures in 1916 were all of $734 million, with $125 million financed by the new income tax authorized a few years prior by the 16th [...]

Durable Boring

By |2017-07-27T18:29:12-04:00July 27th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Durable goods orders were up a seasonally-adjusted 6.5% in the month of June 2017. Nearly all of that gain, however, was due to a jump (131%) in new orders for civilian aircraft. That meant demand for transportation equipment, a highly volatile segment, rose 19% in the month. Excluding all that, durable goods were up just 0.2% month-over-month. Sentiment indicators like [...]

Medicare

By |2018-01-18T10:39:41-05:00July 27th, 2017|Financial Planning, Taxes/Fiscal Policy|

Medicare. The name is as recognizable as Kleenex®, KFC®, and Coca Cola®. But if asked what Medicare is, most people can only tell you it’s government health insurance for older people.  If you’re going to do serious retirement planning you need to know more than that. If you don’t, you could miss sign up deadlines and that will cost you. [...]

Inflation Is Not About Consumer Prices

By |2017-07-26T18:58:44-04:00July 26th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

I suspect President Trump has been told that markets don’t like radical changes. If there is one thing that any elected official is afraid of, it’s the internet flooded with reports of grave financial instability. We need only go back a year to find otherwise confident authorities suddenly reassessing their whole outlook. On the campaign trail, candidate Trump was very [...]

Secret Military Benefit

By |2017-07-26T16:19:42-04:00July 26th, 2017|Taxes/Fiscal Policy|

Buried in the dusty archives of the IRS code is a military secret. The benefit for some military families can be substantial – the ability to deposit up to $500,000 into a Roth IRA, all at one time. In 2008 the Federal Government passed the Heart Act (Heroes Earnings Assistance and Relief Tax Act). It allows surviving spouses of military [...]

When Do I Begin Social Security?

By |2018-01-18T10:40:58-05:00July 26th, 2017|Financial Planning, Taxes/Fiscal Policy|

To take, or not to take—that is the question: Whether ‘tis nobler to wait until 70 for the outrageous fortune of a larger Social Security check, or suffer the slings and arrows of a reduced benefit at age 62. Social Security is an important part of retirement income for many Americans and deciding when to begin benefits is a key [...]

Taxing Social Security

By |2018-01-18T10:40:15-05:00July 26th, 2017|Financial Planning, Taxes/Fiscal Policy|

Are my social security benefits taxable? That’s a frequent question when doing retirement planning. The simple answer is it depends on your income. But it wasn’t always that way. For almost 50 years, no one was taxed on Social Security benefits. Then, during a study of Social Security, a Senate Finance Committee Report said, “…by taxing social security benefits and [...]

Dollars (TIC) In May: Consistently Inconsistent

By |2017-07-26T15:49:03-04:00July 26th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The TIC data for May was inconsistent. It has been that way for several months, and importantly describes what I think is the operative “dollar” condition. Though the data is several months old already, we can tell by certain real-time prices and indications that the difference between 2016 and 2017 is very clear in some parts, and none in others. [...]

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