Markets

Accounting, Monetarily, For The Global Economy

By |2017-01-24T13:41:10-05:00January 24th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

From the outside, it appears as if Wall Street operates like a bureaucracy. There is an enormous amount of paperwork, endless committees who conduct endless meetings, and layers of management supposedly managing the movement of that paperwork as well as the meetings of those committees. The idea is simple enough, to make it appear as if there is tremendous weight [...]

Even The Adoption of Innovation Is Different

By |2017-01-23T18:34:40-05:00January 23rd, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

As with all innovation, the roots of any specific trend usually cast back a very long time. In terms of Enterprise computing solutions, Software as a Service (SaaS) dates to the earliest days of the internet. In the middle 1990’s Application Service Providers started popping up, but they were largely erased in the dot-com bust (not without good reason). For [...]

Dawn of Trump, A Plea For Sanity

By |2017-01-23T17:31:34-05:00January 23rd, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Jose Manuel Barroso was the former Prime Minister of Portugal who became the 11th President of the European Commission. Never one to be shy about sharing his opinions, in June 2012 at the G20 summit in Mexico he declared, “this crisis was originated in North America and many of our financial sector was contaminated by, how can I put it, [...]

There’s A Lot of Relevant History In Going To The Bond Market

By |2017-01-23T12:27:38-05:00January 23rd, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

For Ben Bernanke, characterizing a successful tenure is exceedingly hard. Afterward writing a memoir about his time at the Fed, however, made such a task a necessary one. Given so few options from which to define his legacy, the former Chairman decided very carefully about how to frame his efforts. And still all he could come up with was a [...]

Memories of 2a7 Fade, But Commercial Paper Remains Relevant Anyway

By |2017-01-20T18:22:17-05:00January 20th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

If you are an enterprising financial firm with spare cash toward the end of the business day, you have several options for it. Primary among them is the Fed’s Reverse Repo (RRP) desk which will pay you 50 bps interest with your cash secured by both the reputation of the Federal Reserve as well as UST collateral. Given that option, [...]

Now What? Lots of ‘Stimulus’, And Still No Results

By |2017-01-20T16:35:23-05:00January 20th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Nowhere is the “dollar’s” effects more damaging than in any real economy dependent upon it. It is quite fitting that on a day when the PBOC surprises with a desperate move to reduce the RRR for big banks, who have already been for some time the outlet for massive RMB liquidity, Chinese officials release economic statistics that show little or [...]

China RRR: Surprise But No Surprise

By |2017-01-20T12:36:00-05:00January 20th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The amount of liquidity being added to the big Chinese banks has been astounding. The vast majority of it is coming from the PBOC itself. In July 2015, just before everything broke, PBOC funding of the Big 4 State-Owned Banks was less than RMB 100 billion. As of the latest figures for December 2016, it was RMB 1.17 trillion. In [...]

The Non-Cyclical Cycle Repeats

By |2017-01-19T18:16:11-05:00January 19th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Industrial production rose year-over-year in December 2016, the first plus sign in more than a year. For the month, IP was up 0.5% from the same month in 2015, following declines of 0.7% in each of the prior two months. In seasonally-adjusted, month-over-month terms, IP increased by 0.8% in December after being essentially flat for four months before. Under normal [...]

Where Do We Begin? Define What It Means To Be A Bank

By |2017-01-19T16:05:42-05:00January 19th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It may sound overly basic, but the times being what they are there is a very well deserved need to be elementary about certain things again. That starts with banks and really defining what is and is not one. When money was money, banking was a very simple procedure, though not quite so stylized and rudimentary as it is often [...]

Data Tick In November TIC

By |2017-01-18T18:37:53-05:00January 18th, 2017|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

November was the month where global bonds, particularly sovereign bonds, were routed in synchronized liquidation. As such, we would expect to find among various data sources evidence to suggest a monetary “dollar” background consistent with that fact. What that has meant in the months (and last several years) leading up to it was the foreign official sector in overdrive “selling [...]

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