fiscal stimulus

The *Optimists* Have Some Terrible News For the ‘V’

By |2020-05-27T19:18:33-04:00May 27th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

It has to be a combination of confirmation bias and rationalizations. Not even the official story finishes up with the fairy tale ending. The “V” people seem to be ignoring what the most optimistic group is actually saying. And these optimists absolutely want it to be that way.It bears repeating the “V” case; that once the non-economic shutdowns are lifted, [...]

What Would The Hole Be Without The ‘L’?

By |2020-05-27T17:23:45-04:00May 27th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It’s a pretty simple question, at least when asked by a member of the American citizenry not already compelled by one bias or another. Did the 2009 “stimulus” bill (American Recovery and Reinvestment Act; or ARRA) work? The answer depends upon who you ask, including breaking down along partisan lines. To Democrat Economists, it absolutely did. For their Republican counterparts, [...]

Three Short Run Factors Don’t Make A Long Run Difference

By |2020-03-24T19:28:45-04:00March 24th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

There are three things the markets have going for them right now, and none of them have anything to do with the Federal Reserve. More and more conditions resemble the early thirties in that respect, meaning no respect for monetary powers. This isn’t to say we are repeating the Great Depression, only that the paths available to the system to [...]

Japanese Data: Much More In Store For Number Four

By |2020-02-18T17:01:24-05:00February 18th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

They put it off so long they backed themselves into this corner. The Japanese government under Prime Minister Shinzo Abe had originally scheduled two VAT tax hikes as part of the rollout for Abenomics. It would be inflationary and fiscally responsible all in one pass. To make sure Japan’s perpetually struggling economy could absorb any fallout from them while still [...]

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