milton friedman

History May Rhyme, But These Curves Repeat

By |2017-06-16T19:11:50-04:00June 16th, 2017|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

What is most tragically ironic about the last decade is that the people who are supposed to have been in charge are the same people claiming it could never happen. Ben Bernanke, for example, made his career on studying the Great Depression. Using Milton Friedman’s brand of primitive monetarism as a base, he and others like him developed the modern [...]

A NAIRU Barrier

By |2017-06-05T18:12:31-04:00June 5th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

In the framework of government policy, there is enormous interest in relating the specific condition of any economy to how the government must respond to it. This, of course, presupposes that this is the case, that there must be some impartial body or official standing between what would otherwise be free market excesses. The entire literature devoted to answering the [...]

The Wrong People Have An Innate Tendency To Stand Out

By |2017-05-05T16:27:55-04:00May 5th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

I don’t think Milton Friedman would have made much of chess player. For all I know he might have been a grand master or something close to that rank, but as much as his work is admirable it invites too the whole range of opposite emotion. He was the champion libertarian of the free market who rescued economics from the [...]

‘Nowhere To Go But Up’ Survives Because The Fed Refuses To Be Honest About Its Assessment of the Output Gap

By |2017-04-04T19:05:42-04:00April 4th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The Federal Reserve under Ben Bernanke committed several unforgivable mistakes during his tumultuous tenure, but cumulatively they could be easily summarized as “they really don’t know what they are doing.” Time and again whoever followed monetary policy and the conventions built upon it were led either off a cliff or somewhere just less dramatic. Federal Reserve actions are at best [...]

Industrial Symmetry

By |2017-03-17T12:23:31-04:00March 17th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

There has always been something like Newton’s third law observed in the business cycles of the US and other developed economies. In what is, or was, essentially symmetry, there had been until 2008 considerable correlation between the size, scope, and speed of any recovery and its antecedent downturn, or even slowdown. The relationship was so striking that it moved Milton [...]

Do Record Debt And Loan Balances Matter? Not Even Slightly

By |2017-03-07T16:54:09-05:00March 7th, 2017|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

We live in a non-linear world that is almost always described in linear terms. Though Einstein supposedly said compound interest is the most powerful force in the universe, it rarely is appreciated for what the statement really means. And so the idea of record highs or even just positive numbers have been equated with positive outcomes, even though record highs [...]

Where Friedman Meets Rothbard

By |2016-11-21T13:32:26-05:00November 21st, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

One of the most significant pieces of legislation ever argued and turned into law was the Banking Act of 1935. Maybe even more than the Emergency Banking Act of 1933, the legislative basis for Executive Order 6102 and the end of gold inside the United States, the 1935 law codified what were in 1933 more properly observed as experiments. The [...]

Some Possible, Theoretical Insight Into ‘Something’

By |2016-09-30T17:07:18-04:00September 30th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

In December 2000, the Financial Post orchestrated what it billed as a great debate, a clash of titans pitting two giants of economics against each other in a series of eight questions. Dubbed the Nobel Money Duel, on the one side was Robert Mundell, a Nobel Laureate often credited as the “father of the euro.” On the other was Milton [...]

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