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Reflections On Recession Are A Very Real Affair

By |2016-11-14T17:33:33-05:00November 14th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Where are we in history when the avowed Socialist (capital “S”) from Vermont is the only voice of reason for the Democratic Party in the aftermath of last week’s election? I don’t intend to make this some kind of political screed against one party or the other; I am on record numerous times claiming the America we live in of [...]

Dead Money US$; The OIS Disappearance

By |2015-04-28T17:06:16-04:00April 28th, 2015|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

In taking the lessons of OIS in 2007-08 to analysis, the immediate approach would be for skepticism about OIS in isolation right from the start. To that end, LIBOR-OIS suggests absolutely nothing out of the ordinary by itself. That is particularly odd since we know without any doubt that there have been severe liquidity problems at numerous points since QE3 [...]

Dead Money US$; The OIS Transformation

By |2015-04-28T16:55:27-04:00April 28th, 2015|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

In looking last week at some stress mechanics of the interbank markets I intentionally left out one piece, the Overnight Index Swap. OIS is often viewed as another measure of liquidity risk, keyed off matched maturity LIBOR, to give us a sense of order and good function. There is an OIS rate for every major currency regime, predicated and cued to [...]

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