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Scorching, Blistering, Highest In A Decade! Powell’s The Voice of Reason Here?

By |2021-04-09T18:17:50-04:00April 9th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

If there is one thing Economists understand very well, it’s mathematics. This is practically all they do, and all that means much to their discipline. If there’s one thing Economists don’t seem either competent with or interested in, it’s the economy. The math is supposed to match the other’s reality, yet rarely does.There are times, however, when simple calculation is [...]

Our Global Inflation Tour Chock Full of Normal

By |2021-03-12T17:48:30-05:00March 12th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It really is about abnormality. What I mean by that is, contrary to popular imagination fed by the Fed and other central banks, ever since 2008 the inflation paradigm has changed. The first global financial crisis (GFC1) has proven time and again how it wasn’t a one-off, and since it was a monetary breakdown (global dollar shortage) that’s been permanent [...]

Two Seemingly Opposite Ends Of The Inflation Debate Come Together

By |2021-02-18T20:02:09-05:00February 18th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It’s worth taking a look at a couple of extremes, and the putting each into wider context of inflation/deflation. As you no doubt surmise, only one is receiving much mainstream attention. The other continues to be overshadowed by…anything else. To begin with, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today that US import prices were up on annual basis for [...]

If the Fed’s Not In Consumer Prices, Then How About Producer Prices?

By |2021-01-15T19:38:00-05:00January 15th, 2021|Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It’s not just that there isn’t much inflation evident in consumer prices. Rather, it’s a pretty big deal given the deluge of so much “money printing” this year, begun three-quarters of a year before, that consumer prices are increasing at some of the slowest rates in the data. Trillions in bank reserves, sure, but actual money can only be missing. [...]

Talk About Putting All Your 蛋 In One 篮

By |2020-12-09T19:40:04-05:00December 9th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

I’m not exactly sure how you translate the English word “hope” into Chinese, though Google’s translate algo tells me this is what it’d be: 希望. For the global economy to have any chance of just making next year less awful than it’s already predicted to be (by the optimists), the OECD declared China essential to the fanciful anticipation.As noted before, [...]

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