Repo

Chart Roundup: Bonds Are Indeed Confident

By |2020-02-20T17:52:16-05:00February 20th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Making the rounds on Twitter yesterday (h/t to M. Simmons) was a quote attributed to Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari. I can’t find any confirmation for it so it could be one of those fake news tweet situations. And the only reason I include it here is because it sounds like something he would say; the urge to pile on [...]

Now You Can’t Spell C-C-A-R Without C-L-O

By |2020-02-10T17:32:21-05:00February 10th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Everyone who lived through the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) remembers the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, if not the name itself. The law had authorized TARP (among other things). It was passed during the messiest part of the panic, being signed into law on October 3, 2008. You can always tell what is not going to happen by whatever [...]

COT Black: German Factories, Oklahoma Tank Farms, And FRBNY

By |2020-02-06T19:11:14-05:00February 6th, 2020|Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

I wrote a few months ago that Germany’s factories have been the perfect example of the eurodollar squeeze. The disinflationary tendency that even central bankers can’t ignore once it shows up in the global economy as obvious headwinds. What made and still makes German industry noteworthy is the way it has unfolded and continues to unfold. The downtrend just won’t [...]

Repo’s Stubborn Part of the Disinflationary Tendency

By |2020-02-05T16:49:10-05:00February 5th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

On January 14, FRBNY announced that it would continue offering its short-term liquidity operations for another month, until at least February 13. In setting the scene in order to slowly wean primary dealers from its non-repo repo program, the New York branch also declared that at its term repo window the cap would be reduced from $35 billion to $30 [...]

Repo, Sponsored Repo, And Bank Reserves

By |2020-02-04T19:27:35-05:00February 4th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Gordon E. Moore had co-founded Intel and so he had unique insight into the growing computer world. The revolution required a lot more (pardon the pun) computing power, which, Moore surmised, wouldn’t be too difficult to deliver. In 1965, he had observed that innovations were leading firms like his to be able to install double the number of transistors on [...]

FX, Repo, And Another ‘Strong’ Labor Market

By |2020-01-23T19:12:22-05:00January 23rd, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Between the summer of 2011 and February 2012, the unemployment rate experienced its largest half-year drop since the huge recovery that had been taking place in 1984. It was a very welcome sign that the US economy may have avoided becoming entangled in the global funding messes of 2011. Caught flat-footed, as always, Ben Bernanke’s Fed had ended QE2 at [...]

The Astonishing Odds and Ends in November TIC

By |2020-01-22T18:22:20-05:00January 22nd, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The repo story especially as it is told from the TIC perspective is our main emphasis currently. However, there are other odds and ends in the series that deserve some separate attention if not to the same level. The dollar system is more than collateralized lending, and this will include a few items that I’m going to point out for [...]

Shining Some TIC Light On The Missing (More Than) Half of The Ongoing Repo Story

By |2020-01-22T17:08:39-05:00January 22nd, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Why haven’t US Treasury yields exploded higher? Sure, they are, at the long end, up from their lows set in late August when the rate for the 30-year long bond reached all the way down to a new record. The winds of sentiment have shifted, benefited by globally coordinated (not quite synchronized) monetary “stimulus” as well as a healthy dose [...]

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