Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy

It Will Have To Be Our New Weekly Ritual

By |2020-11-19T19:48:11-05:00November 19th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It has become our new weekly ritual, though I dearly wish it was anything but. The Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration informs the country every Thursday just how many (or a reasonable approximation) of its citizens, formerly working, have filed for determination of unemployment insurance eligibility. Eight months after the initial eruption, we are nowhere near back to [...]

Speaking of Japan’s Attention

By |2020-11-18T19:44:17-05:00November 18th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Speaking of Japan, it’s not difficult to figure out why Japanese banks might seek some small pittance from diving back in the choppy waters of eurodollar redistribution. Conditions at home, particularly since the middle of last year (right when the big turn Tokyo dollars came up), have been, to put it mildly, way less than ideal. Politicians listening to central [...]

Redistributing A Shrinking Pie Is Nothing Like A Flood; Because There Was No Flood

By |2020-11-18T18:11:07-05:00November 18th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

For the past couple months, the foreign official sector has been able to go back to buying (net) US Treasuries again. Not a lot, but it’s a change from the prior period when overseas central banks and governments would dependably dump tens of billions each month. Contrary to convention, this kind of buying corresponds to rising rates, the reflationary stuff. [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 35; Part 2: This Again

By |2020-11-18T15:30:39-05:00November 18th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

———WHERE———   AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN   Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE   iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI   TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z   Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza   Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M   Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY   Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg   Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO   Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ   Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh   Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB   Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa   PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV   PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt   SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK   ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb   AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P   PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———WHO——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiArt: https://davidparkins.com/ Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski, addicted to Jolt Cola pop. [...]

Bursting A Few Bubbles; No, Not That One

By |2020-11-17T19:18:32-05:00November 17th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The Presidential election was supposed to have been a big one. Yields were low, or high, based on how whichever expert or financial media article was interpreting the manner of trading in bond markets. You could take your pick; a “blue wave” was bad, as in BOND ROUT!!! due to inflation and potential for even more (how?) spendthrift ways in [...]

Extending the Summer Slowdown

By |2020-11-17T16:15:23-05:00November 17th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

A big splurge in September, and then not much more in October. While it would be consistent for many to focus on the former, instead there is much about the latter which, for once, is feeding growing concerns. Retail sales, American consumer spending on goods, has been the one (outside of economically insignificant housing) bright spot since summer. If it [...]

Six Point Nine Times Two Equals What It Had In Twenty Fourteen

By |2020-11-16T18:47:36-05:00November 16th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It was a shock, total disbelief given how everyone, and I mean everyone, had penciled China in as the world’s go-to growth engine. If the global economy was ever going to get off the ground again following GFC1 more than a half a decade before, the Chinese had to get back to their precrisis “normal.” In 2014, the clock was [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 35; Part 1: A Vaccine For COVID, And Bond Bull-itis?

By |2020-11-16T15:19:07-05:00November 16th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———WHO——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiArt: https://davidparkins.com/ Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski, not like Tom Brady. Artwork by David Parkins.  ———WHY——— 35.1 Vaccine-phoria to kill Corona and... Bond Market?US Treasury yields have risen on positive news, especially [...]

Weeks of Weak Claims On Growing Claims of Weeks of Weak Demand

By |2020-11-13T19:44:43-05:00November 13th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

At some point, the thing actually has to happen. You can only keep talking about the thing for so long before people start to get wise. And most people, especially those in the public who understandably don’t following the thing closely, or the things related to it, are incredibly patient. Time and time again, they prove willing to give experts, [...]

Gross (in)Opportunity, European Yields Not Fixed By Pfizer

By |2020-11-13T17:53:08-05:00November 13th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It’s easy to pick on Bill Gross because he made it so easy for everyone to do so. Time and again, he called for an end to the bond market “bull”, seeking to make huge profits on the fixed income massacre he said would soon follow whichever one of those decrees. There were several and they weren’t limited to just [...]

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