Currencies

Inflation Binary

By |2020-12-21T17:11:46-05:00December 21st, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Blame Milton Friedman for this one, too. The economist made many significant contributions to the advancement of economic understanding, but perhaps an equal number of extreme errors. For one thing, that whole bout with bank reserves and “high powered money” (what became QE) recommended in the late nineties to cure Japan of its obvious monetary illness. This followed from the [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 40; Part 1: The Inside Story of Lehman, Collateral, and Why Always Premature Celebrations

By |2020-12-28T15:04:48-05:00December 21st, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

PROGRAMMING NOTE: Episode 40 will be the final one for 2020. Episode 41 will pick back up in early January, ~10th. ———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———WHO——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiArt: https://davidparkins.com/ Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski, possesses outside information. Artwork [...]

TIC October: More Foreign Bills & More Private Corporates

By |2020-12-18T19:42:42-05:00December 18th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Since we highlighted the action in T-bills yesterday and the day before, it’s worth at least mentioning what TIC had to say about the instruments. Foreigners had been reducing their holdings of them not out of growing distaste but rather the opposite. There’s not nearly as many of them, not enough for what’s demanded, the Treasury Department quite purposefully (and [...]

Not Manipulation, Montagu’s Monkey

By |2020-12-18T19:06:08-05:00December 18th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The Chinese have never subscribed to the modern wave of “transparency” which has swept over Western central banks. The People’s Bank of China, Big Mama, very much operates instead on the doctrine which preceded it. Basically, Montagu Norman’s way of doing things. Never explain, never excuse.This mantra has been applied to what it does outside of China as much as [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 39; Part 3: Spiking The (inflation) Ball At Your Own 30

By |2020-12-18T15:02:52-05:00December 18th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———WHO——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiArt: https://davidparkins.com/ Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski, spiking the ball at the 30-yard line. Artwork by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "Otherworld" by Lama House at Epidemic Sound. ———WHY——— 39.3 Polar Opposite [...]

Possible Problem? Ask Bill

By |2020-12-17T19:36:24-05:00December 17th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It has happened more frequently the past few days. The difference between the equivalent yield for the 6-month (26-week) Treasury bill and its cousin with a 1-year (52-week) maturity has turned negative. You have to watch for it intraday, catching it flipping occasionally back and forth by fractions. After hours more than regular trading.Inversion, in other words. That dirty term [...]

Messing Gold

By |2020-12-16T19:43:42-05:00December 16th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

They really got carried away, though in the context of that time there seemed any number of legitimate reasons for this. Gold investors were bidding up the precious metal like there was some kind of shortage, the price in dollars making a new record high (LBMA morning fix) on August 7. The way it was reported in the mainstream, this [...]

Consumers, Too; (Un)Confident To Re-engage

By |2020-12-16T16:34:23-05:00December 16th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

There is a lot of evidence which shows some basis for expectations-based monetary policy. Much of what becomes a recession or worse is due to the psychological impacts upon businesses (who invest and hire) as well as workers being consumers (who earn and then spend). Once the snowball of macro contraction begins rolling downhill, rational prudence dictates some degree of [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 39; Part 2: In Swaps Nobody Can Hear You Scream

By |2020-12-16T14:58:09-05:00December 16th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———WHY———39.2 Inflation Hysteria II: In Swaps Nobody Can Hear You ScreamInflation Hysteria II is the latest blockbuster advertised in the financial media. Is the sequel better, or worse than the original (2017-18)? Let's ask the critics: TIPS, interest rate swaps, [...]

What Did Hamper Growth ‘In A Few Months’

By |2020-12-15T19:22:20-05:00December 15th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Over here, on the other side of that ocean, the US economy can only dream of the low levels Chinese industry has been putting up this late into 2020. At least those in the East are back positive year-over-year. Here in America, manufacturing and industry can’t even manage anything like a plus sign.Summer slowdown extends in Industrial Production. According to [...]

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