Stocks

Monthly Macro Monitor – June 2020

By |2020-06-17T10:47:36-04:00June 17th, 2020|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks, Taxes/Fiscal Policy|

The stock market has recovered most of its losses from the March COVID-19 induced sell-off and the enthusiasm with which stocks are being bought – and sold but mostly bought – could lead one to believe that the crisis is over, that the economy has completely or nearly completely recovered. Unfortunately, other markets do not support that notion nor does [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 13: Now What?

By |2020-06-15T13:00:42-04:00June 15th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

iTunes: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa Pocketcast: https://pca.st/encarkdt Alhambra-tube: https://youtu.be/a3_txb_PhrM Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski Art: https://davidparkins.com/   [Emil's Summary] American books and films published in 1925 will be entering the public domain next year. Included among them will be The Great Gatsby by F. Scott Fitzgerald. Upon its release the book was met with popular indifference. And [...]

There Was Never Going To Be A ‘V’ Because The Bowl Was Always Empty

By |2020-06-11T19:33:47-04:00June 11th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

What was stupidest about the past few months was how it was these guys who everyone was depending upon to make it all go just perfectly moving forward. Worse, those geniuses being held up as competent economic stewards practically reran the 2008 playbook line by line. What that said, more than anything, was that they had come up with zero [...]

We Have Reached The Silly Phase of the Bull Market

By |2020-06-11T08:04:42-04:00June 11th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

Have we entered a new bull market? Was the 35% pullback in the S&P 500 in March the fastest bear market in history? Or is this just a continuation of the bull market that started in 2009, interrupted by a rather large correction? Bull markets and bear markets are about behavior, about the human emotions of fear and greed. While [...]

Why The FOMC Just Embraced The Stock Bubble (and anything else remotely sounding inflationary)

By |2020-06-10T19:10:13-04:00June 10th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

The job, as Jay Powell currently sees it, means building up the S&P 500 as sky high as it can go. The FOMC used to pay lip service to valuations, but now everything is different. He’ll signal to all those fund managers by QE raising bank reserves, leading them on in what they all want to believe is “money printing” [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 12: Mailbag

By |2020-06-08T12:08:00-04:00June 8th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

iTunes: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Google: https://shorturl.at/fpsEJ Alhambra-tube: https://youtu.be/9xDka3RtxEk Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski Art: https://davidparkins.com/   [Emil's Summary] Millennials may not know this, but many centuries ago mail came by bag not by vibration nor beep. Legendary figures took on the mantle of "Mail Carrier!" including: founding father Benjamin Franklin, Wells Fargo cowboys of the Pony Express, and nice guy Mr. McFeely from Mr. [...]

What Powell’s Not Telling You; Half of Jobs Already Lost May Not Be Coming Back Anytime Soon

By |2020-06-02T18:46:57-04:00June 2nd, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

Time may not heal all wounds, after all. One thing it does do is clarify. There was a time not all that long ago when 20 million sounded absolutely enormous. How quaint today. At the end of March, initial jobless claims in the US were surpassing that unthinkable level leaving everyone to hope it wouldn’t get much worse. Having blown [...]

What Flood?

By |2020-05-28T19:33:20-04:00May 28th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

Another 2.1 million Americans have filed this week with their state governments in order to determine their eligibility for unemployment insurance. That brings the 10-week disaster total for these initial jobless claims to an enormous 40.8 million. How did it get to be so many, and why, as states are opening back up, is it continuing in the millions all [...]

The *Optimists* Have Some Terrible News For the ‘V’

By |2020-05-27T19:18:33-04:00May 27th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

It has to be a combination of confirmation bias and rationalizations. Not even the official story finishes up with the fairy tale ending. The “V” people seem to be ignoring what the most optimistic group is actually saying. And these optimists absolutely want it to be that way.It bears repeating the “V” case; that once the non-economic shutdowns are lifted, [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 10: *The* Illusion

By |2020-05-26T14:55:26-04:00May 26th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

iTunes: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Google: https://shorturl.at/fpsEJ Alhambra-tube: https://youtu.be/P7Wx7AYFDsQ Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski Art: https://davidparkins.com/ [Emil's Summary] Then: a man or a woman who is a medium or a wizard was ascribed powers of enchantment and the supernatural. Now: a monetary technocrat is imbued with necromancy, conjuring money out of thin air and levitating stock markets.About: We are informed by the financial press the [...]

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