credit spreads

The Empty Bank

By |2020-04-02T19:37:46-04:00April 2nd, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The Federal Reserve announced the Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility (SMCCF) on March 23. The intent of this program was to calm the corporate bond market (secondary) then experiencing a massive blowout. Credit spreads of all kinds of corporate securities were exploding, the market in danger of completely shutting down.According to its latest balance sheet statement as of this afternoon, [...]

Collateral, Friends

By |2020-03-12T10:27:58-04:00March 12th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Another day, another big risk-off move. And yet, the world's great end-of-world hedge, gold, is getting pummeled even as it seems the world is edging closer to its end.  Yes, another day another clear demonstration of collateral scarcity - as opposed to bank reserve scarcity which isn't a thing (sorry, Jay). If you have a moment, check out the intraday [...]

(Almost) Everything Sold Off Today

By |2020-03-11T19:48:44-04:00March 11th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

The eurodollar curve’s latest twist exposes what’s behind the long end. To recap: big down day in stocks which, for the first time in a while, wasn’t accompanied by massive buying in longer maturity UST’s. Instead, these were sold, too. Rumors of parity funds liquidating were all over the place, which is consistent with this curve behavior. Let’s start with [...]

The COLLATERAL-17 Virus?

By |2020-02-28T19:49:11-05:00February 28th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

With interest rates tumbling all over the world, gold should be killing it. Instead, gold is getting killed. The major correlation for this precious metal has been the bond market, falling yields. And that makes intuitive sense; gold as a hedge pays no interest, but if competing safety instruments like UST’s end up paying up a lot less then gold [...]

Go to Top