Eurodollar University

56.3 Treasuries: Standard vs. Eurodollar Explanation———Part 3 Summary———Learn the difference between an orthodox-economics and a shadow-money view of US Treasuries. The mainstream says, 'Too many Treasuries!' and 'Emerging markets in danger!' Is that true? ———Episode 56 Intro——— Space, the final metaphor. Why do central bankers offer spirographic, retrograde answers? Because they operate within a Ptolemaic paradigm – a geocentric model [...]

56.2 Is The Money Boom Is Already Here? NO!———Part 2 Summary——— Learn why a HISTORIC surge of M2 money supply is NOWHERE near-enough to rescue the world economy. Across a group of mostly rich nations M2 and M3 are at multi-decade highs. And yet millions remain unemployed. What's missing? Money! ———Episode 56 Intro——— Space, the final metaphor. Why do central [...]

56.1 Treasury Selloff Submerges Repo Market Under Zero ———Part 1 Summary——— Learn why rates in the repurchase agreement market went negative. What might it mean for economic recovery, not only in the United States but globally? Learn about 2013 and 2020 when repo securities also "traded special". Jeff Snider offers two explanations, one benign (sort of). The other? Malign. ———Episode [...]

54.3 Deficits + Bond Losses + Inflation Fear = 1937? ———Part 3 Summary———In 1937, like now, circumstantial evidence and biases of central bankers suggested the impending arrival of fierce inflation: huge government deficits, better economic statistics, rising bond yields and excess bank reserves. Yet the underlying condition was of depression and credit illiquidity. ———Episode 54 Intro——— “The pen is mightier [...]

54b Trigger Warning? China's Yuan and PMI Turn Bad? ———Part 2 Summary———The appreciation of the Chinese yuan against the American dollar has paused. A survey of the Chinese services sector scored a historic low. Are these the first indications of an economic slowdown? A slowdown that is not only Chinese but global? ———Episode 54 Intro——— “The pen is mightier than [...]

54a US TIPS Curve Inverts: An Economic Warning? ———Part 1 Summary———The US Treasury inflation-protected security curve has gone upside down. Indeed, it has NEVER been more upside down. What is the Treasury market telling us about the economy's prospects? Also, how long does reflation typically last? Are we closer to its beginning or end? ———Episode 54 Intro——— "The pen is [...]

52.3 US Oil Market Update + Texas Power Credit Crisis?What does the oil market (production, demand, inventory) in the USA tell us about the economic recovery in early 2021? Also, is a power market credit crisis in Texas causing a national run on banking-system collateral? [Emil’s Summary] The theme of Making Sense Episode 52 is how an environment reacts to an [...]