federal reserve

A(nother) Recovery In Apology Only

By |2020-04-14T16:49:19-04:00April 14th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It’s nothing more than pedigree, having little to do with actual performance. Central bankers are given a level of respect and even admiration suited only to their job title. As such, they travel the world as honored guests to fulfill the insatiable demand for their takes on essential matters no matter how far off the mark.Only rarely is there occasion [...]

The Global Engine Is Still Leaking

By |2020-04-13T18:48:13-04:00April 13th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

An internal combustion engine that is leaking oil presents a difficult dilemma. In most cases, the leak itself is obscured if not completely hidden. You can only tell that there’s a problem because of secondary signs and observations.If you find dark stains underneath your car, for example, or if your engine smells of thick, bitter unpleasantness, you’d be wise to [...]

Right on Cue, Low Money Rates Are Not What You Might Think

By |2020-03-23T17:12:12-04:00March 23rd, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

For several weeks now, the Federal Reserve has launched one bazooka after another. Officials there keep reassuring the markets, and the public, they’ve got an unlimited toolkit. However, the fact that they feel it necessary to keep showing you is a warning sign, especially how quickly each one is forgotten and overshadowed by the latest Big New Thing. The reason [...]

Chaos Curve: Stocks And Long Bonds Aren’t Actually Diverging Right Now

By |2020-03-13T13:46:26-04:00March 13th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

In a week replete with chaotic movements and arrangements, a puzzle has emerged. Conventional wisdom says that when stocks tank bonds rally. While the latter takes place regardless of the former, during those times when the NYSE finally pays attention to what might be herding financial agents into safety instruments the bond market typically rallies even harder. It sure did [...]

The Still Chilly Winds of #4

By |2020-02-01T13:56:44-05:00February 1st, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The Federal Reserve added the word “symmetric” to its inflation goal for a reason. Back in May 2018 when it was made official officials made quite a big deal out of it. It was for two reasons, actually, both of them intertwined in the way Economists believe the economic system is supposed to work; and the central bank’s place in [...]

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