interest rates

History Shows You Should Infer Nothing From Powell’s Pause

By |2020-01-30T18:55:02-05:00January 30th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Jay Powell says that three’s not a crowd, at least not for his rate cuts, but four would be. As usual, central bankers like him always hedge and say that “should conditions warrant” the FOMC will be more than happy to indulge (the NYSE). But what he means in his heart of hearts is that there probably won’t be any [...]

China’s Coronavirus Is The New Trade War

By |2020-01-27T19:38:32-05:00January 27th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

According to analysts and economists who watch these things, Germany’s IFO Business Climate Index was expected to continue its rise. Having purportedly bottomed out back in September, like other sentiment indicators this one had been on the rebound, too, if, though, much less than those others (especially the “stimulus” loving ZEW). While maybe not suggesting the turnaround we had been [...]

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