Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy

Inflation (Expectations) Is Anything But Confusing

By |2020-10-13T15:58:46-04:00October 13th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Before the word “taper” ever left the lips of anyone occupying an official position at the Federal Reserve in the late spring of 2013, there was already something very much amiss. Not that you would have known it, of course. In the financial media, everything was moving along swimmingly, Bernanke the thrice-crowned hero. QE4 had been dutifully buried by its [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 30; Part 1: Belaboring the Ongoing Lack of “V”

By |2020-10-13T16:01:16-04:00October 12th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———WHO———   Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP   Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski   Art: https://davidparkins.com/   Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski (is that a ponytail?). Artwork by David Parkins.   ———WHY——— 30.1 Government Furlough Programs & Cash are NOT Stimulus$1,200 direct cash payments is [...]

Are These Magic Beans?

By |2020-10-09T18:56:27-04:00October 9th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

China’s Caixin Composite PMI came down a little bit in the month of September 2020. According to the latest update, the country’s manufacturing sector index declined by a small amount while services accelerated only modestly. Combined, the manufacturing side worked out to contribute more to the composite than services, so the score for last month dropped to 54.5 from 55.1 [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 29; Part 3: Carrying The Yen Carry Trade Into The Light

By |2020-10-09T14:58:32-04:00October 9th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———WHO———   Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP   Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski   Art: https://davidparkins.com/   Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski, owner of many red (hardcover) books. Artwork by stylograph sammurai, David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is “STHLM-Tokyo” by Ooyy and Smartface at Epidemic [...]

It Just Isn’t Enough

By |2020-10-08T19:52:51-04:00October 8th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The Department of Labor attached a technical note to its weekly report on unemployment claims. The state of California has announced that it is suspending the processing of initial claims filed by (former) workers in that state. Government officials have decided to pause their efforts for two weeks so as to try and sort out what “might” be widespread fraud.The [...]

Is There Enough?

By |2020-10-07T19:50:33-04:00October 7th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It’s just not fast enough. And with the labor market spitting out numbers across a broad economic cross-section that look increasingly tired suggesting an economy running out of momentum, there’s the added urgency of time. Late summer figures still aren’t close to where they need to be even though when you view them in isolation they can look tremendous.Start with [...]

Q3’s Gigantic Positives Were A Nice Start, But They Weren’t The Story

By |2020-10-07T16:56:49-04:00October 7th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Back in late July, the government of Ecuador opened negotiations with a particular set of what it called institutional bondholders. Like so many other nations, every other nation, Ecuador needs dollars and borrows them from global markets. Eurodollars, as in directly bank loans, those have been harder to come by post-2013. Eurobonds, however, they’ve been somewhat of a different story [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 29; Part 2: David Hume, Copernicus, and Ice Cube Walk Into A Bar…

By |2020-10-07T15:10:19-04:00October 7th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———HOW———29.2 Copernicus, Hume, Cooke & Ice Cube 'talk' MoneyOver the ages legendary philosophers have offered their thoughts on the nature money. This episode focuses on two - David Hume and Jay Locke - whose ideas, though diametrically opposed, are both true. Also, Antonio Gramsci, [...]

Inflation Conditions Absent: Someone Call Jay

By |2020-10-06T19:20:27-04:00October 6th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

I missed it: did anyone ask Chairman Jay Powell how in the world he’s going to be able to create this “hot” inflation he already needs to balance out a decade without it (meaning: recovery and growth) in order to satisfy this newfangled average inflation target? And though he makes it sound like it’s a new thing, especially adding the [...]

Inflation Targeting: You Can Me Al [Corrected]

By |2020-10-12T15:03:29-04:00October 6th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The issue of inflation targeting has once again come to the forefront, though for reasons and in a way policymakers had never anticipated. That speaks volumes already. The recent introduction of this (flexible) average inflation targeting is merely the latest tweak to a process that’s already more than thirty years old. Not exactly new thinking. While the US Federal Reserve [...]

Go to Top