There were some wild, unprecedented - frankly stunning - swings in some very large, high-profile stocks last week. The press concentrated on Meta, nee Facebook, and Amazon as the yin and yang, the negative and positive, of the market. Facebook (how long before Zuckerberg abandons Meta? I give it a year) managed to lose a quarter of a trillion dollars [...]
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun discusses last week's crazy market, earnings season, and changes to Alhambra portfolios.
I'll just get this out of the way right at the beginning. The question in the title of this post refers to the end of the ongoing stock market correction and the answer is likely no. There are no sure things in this business so it isn't an unequivocal no, but based on history, the odds favor more weakness. I [...]
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about the return of fear to the market, the 2022 selloff in risky assets including large-cap growth, what's going on with volatility, REITs, bonds, commodities, and if it's time to get greedy.
Fear tends to manifest itself much more quickly than greed, so volatile markets tend to be on the downside. In up markets, volatility tends to gradually decline. - Philip Roth Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful. - Warren Buffett The new year hasn't gotten off to a great start for growth stocks or [...]
What is the consensus about the economy today? Will 2022 growth be better or worse than 2021? Actually, that probably isn't the right question because the economy slowed significantly in the second half of 2021. The real question is whether growth will improve from that reduced pace. The Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracker now has Q4 growth all the way down [...]
Alhambra CEO Joe discusses a shift in the market the first week of the new year, as well as the dollar, a big miss on employment numbers, a high quits rate, and good export numbers.
In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations, and epochs, it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche The new year got off to quite a bang last week. It was almost as if someone flipped a switch and investors/traders suddenly decided that all that stuff they believed last year was just so passe. Growth stocks? Nah, who wants [...]
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about whether inflation has peaked, the JOLTS report, new company formations, consumer sentiment, and what investors should do to wrap up 2021.
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about last week's economic reports versus the bond market, what the bond market is telling us, Omicron and its effect on the market, and what investors should be watching right now.
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