Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun discusses the hazards of financial news, over-speculation in the market, the prudent person investment rule & reports on retail sales, industrial production, and the housing market index.
Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO Joseph Y. Calhoun discusses the Katona effect in light of last week's 10-year low consumer sentiment number and the 30-year high inflation number.
Weekly Market Pulse: Paging George Katona
Consumer sentiment hit a decade low last month, falling 6 points from an already low level. The culprit? Inflation, which we learned last week hit a 3 decade high in October. And if the founder of the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey is right, the next thing we'll see is an economic slowdown. George Katona was a psychologist who [...]
Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun reviews good and not-so-good economic reports from last week, new highs in the markets, and the growing trend of speculation with stocks and cryptocurrencies.
Weekly Market Pulse: Divergence
Almost all the economic data released last week was better than expected. ISM manufacturing PMI, Redbook retail sales, ISM non-manufacturing PMI (an all-time high), factory orders (headline and ex-transportation), ADP employment, jobless claims (new post-COVID low), non-farm payrolls, the unemployment rate, manufacturing employment, all better than expected. There were some disappointing reports: construction spending was down 0.5%, the trade deficit [...]
Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO talks about last week's reversal in bonds yields, if there's a growth scare, what the yield curve is saying, plus reports on wages & salaries, core capital goods, and jobless claims.
Weekly Market Pulse: Growth Scare?
A couple of weeks ago the 10-year Treasury note yield rose 16 basis points in the course of 5 trading days. That move was driven by near-term inflation fears as I discussed last week. Long-term inflation expectations were and are well behaved. I wrote nearly 2000 words last week about that change in inflation expectations and I'm so glad you [...]
Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun describes the move in bonds last week, what it means, and how it's different than a similar move in the spring of 2021.
Weekly Market Pulse: Inflation Scare!
The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial stock averages made new all-time highs last week as bonds sold off, the 10-year Treasury note yield briefly breaking above 1.7% before a pretty good-sized rally Friday brought the yield back to 1.65%. And thus we're right back where we were at the end of March when the 10-year yield hit its high [...]
Weekly Market Pulse: Perception vs Reality
It was the best of times, it was the worst of times... Charles Dickens, A Tale of Two Cities Some see the cup as half empty. Some see the cup as half full. I see the cup as too large. George Carlin The quote from Dickens above is one that just about everyone knows even if they don't [...]
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