pmi

Xi Told You Last January

By |2022-01-03T17:00:43-05:00January 3rd, 2022|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The guy was, as usual, explicitly candid when he spoke to his crowd of global billionaires. The Davos gathering of the superrich does much for generating clickbait headlines, though typically followed by the most nondescript phrases only passed off as useful insight. In this setting, Xi Jinping really has been the disruptor.How’s that for irony?Their message - they being everyone [...]

Questioning The Already Questionable State of Global Demand

By |2021-11-30T19:39:11-05:00November 30th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

If markets seem a bit on edge, I guess omicron seems a good reason if for no other reason than we don’t know much about it. But even that reaction points toward something else. A truly robust economy has little to fear from such unknowns, even from what might be predictable overreaction across the entire public sphere.The knee-jerk negative sentiment [...]

From The Blackest of Mouths: China’s (deflationary) Slowdown Picks (way) Up

By |2021-08-31T17:29:21-04:00August 31st, 2021|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

At great risk of upsetting China’s army of censors, I’m going to “slander” the Chinese economy anyway. Were I a comrade within that particular nation, I’d now get labeled a “black mouth” spreading misinformation in the form of actual up-to-date data published by the same Communist government fearing its spread. Rate of change in the economy goes down, rate of [...]

Deflation From the Beginning: The Soothsayer (bonds) Said Beward The Ides of March

By |2021-08-02T17:38:45-04:00August 2nd, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It’s been a little too on-the-nose. Claiming only a minimum level of dramatic license here, what we have continuing toward an uneasy future is a case of life imitating art (which imitated real life). We’ve all heard of Shakespeare’s famed soothsayer cautioning the arrogant Roman Emperor Caesar to watch his back on March 15. How about the 18th?Beware the Ides [...]

Potential Fallout From PMI Wars

By |2021-06-03T20:13:06-04:00June 3rd, 2021|Markets|

It’s not really a war so much as somewhat of a disagreement. And it’s not an unfamiliar one, as time and again these things tend to come down to timing. The global economy remains synchronized, only certain parts of it go ahead first before others then the rest end up joining. Carried into the realm of PMI’s, diverges in sentiment [...]

Seizing The Dirt Shirt Title

By |2021-01-05T19:16:33-05:00January 5th, 2021|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

In mid-December 2019, before the world had heard of COVID, China’s Central Economic Work Conference had released a rather startling statement for the world to consume. In the West, everything was said to be on the up. Central banks had responded, forcefully, many claimed, more than enough to deal with that year’s “unexpected” globally synchronized downturn.This view had been punctuated [...]

China’s 1st 15-year Xi-athon

By |2020-11-02T17:25:27-05:00November 2nd, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

According to one published study, the livestock population in China almost tripled in the three decades between 1980 and 2010. Not only that, the primary use of all those animals changed drastically, too. Prior, the backwards agrarian economy of the hardcore Maoist’s day didn’t eat its ox and cattle, rather such beasts of burden were used for the manual power [...]

What’s That Smell?

By |2020-10-23T18:08:46-04:00October 23rd, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

“At least we aren’t Europe” wasn’t quite the standard for excellence Ben Bernanke was originally shooting for. Certainly not when he began QE in the United States, nor at the inauguration of its repeat not even two years later. The former Fed Chairman had promised recovery and delivered instead a highly disputed number of “jobs saved.”Framing it this way, the [...]

What’s Zambia Got To Do With It (everything)

By |2020-10-01T19:35:12-04:00September 30th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

As one of Africa’s largest copper producers, it seemed like a no-brainer. Financial firms across the Western world, pension funds from the US or banks in Europe, they lined up for a bit of additional yield. This was 2012, still global recovery on the horizon – at least that’s what “they” all kept saying. Zambia did what everyone does, the [...]

Purchasing Managers Indigestion

By |2020-08-05T19:21:37-04:00August 5th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

There’s already doubt given how the two major series supposedly measuring the same thing seemingly can’t agree. If the rebound was truly robust, it would show up unambiguously everywhere. But IHS Markit’s purchasing managers indices struggled to get back above 50 in July, barely getting there, suggesting the economy might be slowing or even stalling way too close to the [...]

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