Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
What caused the rally in stocks and bonds last week? Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about the CPI numbers, the break in Treasury and Dollar uptrends, interest rates, and lag time to recession.
Market Currents: Predicting The Next Recession
Is recession coming? When? Can we tell? Steve Brennan and Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun look at specific language from Jerome Powell, if there will be a soft landing, and whether a peak in interest rates gives any indication about the timing of a recession.
Weekly Market Pulse: Good News, Bad News
One thing I can tell you for certain about last week's big rally on Thursday and Friday: there were a lot of people who desperately wanted a good excuse to buy stocks. And buy they did after a better-than-expected CPI report Thursday morning, pushing the S&P 500 up nearly 6% on the week with all of that coming on Thursday [...]
Market Currents: Do Yield Curves Indicate Recession?
Everybody is talking about the yield curve today. How good are they at indicating a coming recession and what influences them? Steve Brennan talks about it with Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun.
Market Currents: Fed Punishing Middle Class
Is the Fed punishing the middle class? Steve Brennan talks to Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun about the Fed’s focus on killing jobs and stopping wage increases in an attempt to slow inflation. Has the Fed gone too far, too fast?
Market Currents: An Aging Population is Not Disinflationary
It’s a myth that an aging population is deflationary. Steve Brennan and Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun look at where the myth came from and the difference between its beginnings and what’s going on today in the United States.
Boom & Bust
Jerome Powell has said repeatedly that the Fed's goal is to get rates higher and leave them there for an extended period of time. He believes that the mistake of the 70s was that once higher rates snuffed out inflation, the Fed cut rates too quickly and the inflation returned. I think the mistake of the 70s was that, by [...]
Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun has an opinion on why the market was on a roller coaster after the Fed statement last week; There’s more than one way to calculate the 10/3 yield curve, and don’t put all you hope on a single market indicator.
Market Currents: What Drove Income Inequality
Demographics and Globalization are responsible for wealth inequality around the world. Steve Brennan and Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talk about the winners and losers.
Weekly Market Pulse: It’s Always Different This Time
The FOMC met last week and did what everyone expected them to do - raised the Fed Funds rate by 0.75%. The bond and stock markets reacted not to this action but to the commentary provided by the committee in its statement and by Chairman Jerome Powell at his post meeting press conference. The former had a new phrase, a [...]
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