It’s a myth that an aging population is deflationary. Steve Brennan and Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun look at where the myth came from and the difference between its beginnings and what’s going on today in the United States.
Jerome Powell has said repeatedly that the Fed's goal is to get rates higher and leave them there for an extended period of time. He believes that the mistake of the 70s was that once higher rates snuffed out inflation, the Fed cut rates too quickly and the inflation returned. I think the mistake of the 70s was that, by [...]
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun has an opinion on why the market was on a roller coaster after the Fed statement last week; There’s more than one way to calculate the 10/3 yield curve, and don’t put all you hope on a single market indicator.
Demographics and Globalization are responsible for wealth inequality around the world. Steve Brennan and Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talk about the winners and losers.
The FOMC met last week and did what everyone expected them to do - raised the Fed Funds rate by 0.75%. The bond and stock markets reacted not to this action but to the commentary provided by the committee in its statement and by Chairman Jerome Powell at his post meeting press conference. The former had a new phrase, a [...]
Demographics and Globalization are driving political change. Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about causes and unintended consequences.
Demographic trends are changing the economic landscape in the United States. The older population is growing rapidly while the working population is shrinking. The labor shortage is also adding to the problem. Steve Brennan and Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun break it down.
Forget a gradual decoupling from China. In October, the Biden administration announced new export controls and rules that effectively decapitate China’s semiconductor industry. The ramifications go beyond semiconductors to everything touched by them, including potentially ending nearly all of China’s high-tech aspirations. U.S. companies are now banned from exporting advanced chips to China without special exemptions. But the rules go [...]
I have often been accused over the years of being too optimistic and I will plead guilty to having a little rose-colored tint in my glasses. I am an optimist by nature and I search constantly for good things to write about. There are more than enough people out there willing to tell you the world is coming to an [...]
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