Alhambra Research

Weekly Market Pulse: All Clear?

By |2022-03-21T07:49:16-04:00March 20th, 2022|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

Why did stocks sell off in recent months? Was it the emergence of the Omicron variant? That was a popular narrative right after Thanksgiving but that lasted less than a month before stocks decided to look past COVID make a new high right after the new year. Was the correction due to fears of the Fed raising interest rates and [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: Is This A Bear Market?

By |2022-03-14T07:46:24-04:00March 13th, 2022|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

I don't know the answer to the question posed in the title. No one does because the future is not predictable. I don't know what will happen in Ukraine. I don't know how much what has already happened there - and what might - matters to the US and global economy. I don't know if the Fed is making a [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: Oil Shock

By |2022-03-07T07:38:30-05:00March 6th, 2022|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

Crude oil prices rose over 25% last week and as I sit down to write this evening, the overnight futures are up another 8% to around $125. Almost every other commodity on the planet rose in prices last week too, as did the dollar. Those two factors - rising dollar and rising commodity prices - mean the likelihood of recession [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: Well, That Was A Surprise

By |2022-02-27T23:52:29-05:00February 27th, 2022|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

Last week when I wrote this weekly piece, the S&P 500 futures were down 80 points as Russia appeared poised to attack Ukraine, which they ultimately did last week. Today I sit here to write again and the futures are once again down, this time around 100 points. What's interesting is that the level this evening is well above last [...]

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