Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO explains where the yield curve inversion went, what's happening to real interest rates, and the impact on the dollar and commodities.
Weekly Market Pulse: What Yield Curve Inversion
Well, that didn't last long. I wrote last week about the inversion of the 10-year/2-year term spread as the yield of the 2-year Treasury note rose above the yield of the 10-year Treasury note. Using end-of-day data, the curve inverted on Friday, April 1st, and stayed that way until....Monday, April 4th. The spread closed last Friday, April 8th at 19 [...]
Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun reacts to last week's inversion of the yield curve and what investors should do now.
Weekly Market Pulse: What Now?
The yield curve inverted last week. Well, the part everyone watches, the 10-year/2-year Treasury yield spread, inverted, closing the week a solid 7 basis points in the negative. The difference between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields is not the yield curve though. The 10/2 spread is one point on the Treasury yield curve which is positively sloped from 1 [...]
Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun says the cure for high prices is high prices. He looks at current supply & demand, the S&P 500, bonds, commodities, and what investors should consider right now.
Weekly Market Pulse: The Cure For High Prices
There's an old Wall Street maxim that the cure for high commodity prices is high commodity prices. As prices rise, two things will generally limit the scope of the increase. Demand will wane as consumers just use less or find substitutes. Supply will also increase as the companies that extract these raw materials open new mines, grow more crops, or [...]
Weekly Market Pulse: All Clear?
Why did stocks sell off in recent months? Was it the emergence of the Omicron variant? That was a popular narrative right after Thanksgiving but that lasted less than a month before stocks decided to look past COVID make a new high right after the new year. Was the correction due to fears of the Fed raising interest rates and [...]
Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about whether we are in a bear market, facts about the economy, credit spreads, yield curve, interest rates, changes to Alhambra Portfolios, and why you must have an investment plan that includes strategy AND tactics.
Weekly Market Pulse: Is This A Bear Market?
I don't know the answer to the question posed in the title. No one does because the future is not predictable. I don't know what will happen in Ukraine. I don't know how much what has already happened there - and what might - matters to the US and global economy. I don't know if the Fed is making a [...]
Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun discusses the impact of the Ukraine/Russia situation on oil, recession, European stock markets, and Alhambra portfolios.
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