When people talk about "the market" they are usually referring the big indexes - the S&P 500 or the NASDAQ. For more casual observers, "the market" is the Dow which is a lousy index for a lot of reasons but has the advantage of history. But are any those really representative of how "the market" is doing? Not really. All [...]
The employment report released last Friday offered contradictory views of the state of the economy. The Current Employment Survey (also called the payroll or establishment survey), which comes from a survey of 119,000 businesses, showed a gain of 272,000 jobs for the month of May, which is right in line with the monthly average since April of 2022. On the [...]
"The uncertainty about where neutral is today creates a challenge for policymakers." - Neel Kashkari, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Last week was a volatile one for markets with big swings in stocks and bonds in a holiday-shortened week. The economic data didn't appear to be sufficiently out of the expected range to justify big moves but we got them anyway. [...]
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