Markets

Weekly Market Pulse: Jerome Powell, Tough Guy

By |2022-09-26T11:50:30-04:00September 26th, 2022|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

Jerome Powell wants everyone to know that he's read Paul Volcker's autobiography, "Keeping At It". He has used this phrase repeatedly since Jackson Hole, apparently believing that he needs to channel Mr. Volcker's gruff demeanor in order to get markets to do what he thinks they should do. He and others on the FOMC were not pleased with the stock [...]

Powell’s Epiphany: There is No Free Lunch p1 Intro

By |2022-09-23T14:50:15-04:00September 23rd, 2022|Markets|

I'll save the epiphany for the end. QE can work when the Fed is the buyer of last resort and then interest rates slowly go down. The market breathes a sigh of relief and the country can go about their business. But that's not what has happened in this country, especially since Q1 2020. By no means would I ever [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: What Changed?

By |2022-09-19T06:29:13-04:00September 18th, 2022|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

The S&P 500 fell 4.8% last week and is now down 19.4% year-to-date. Bonds were also down with yields up all across the yield curve. Gold was down 2.5% and the GSCI commodity index was down 2.3%. Rate-sensitive REITs were down nearly 6%. The list of what went up last week would be quicker: the dollar, platinum, silver, and some [...]

Is You Is or Is You Ain’t a Bubble?

By |2022-09-19T15:40:44-04:00September 17th, 2022|Economy, Markets|

Monthly closing price for SPY on the 1st day for the month from 2 years prior to a market high to 3 years after that top. The data points are indexed to the starting point 24 months before the market top. I know, I know, it's different this time. It's always different. Different is not a relative measure of anything. [...]

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