Markets

Powell’s Epiphany: There is No Free Lunch p1 Intro

By |2022-09-23T14:50:15-04:00September 23rd, 2022|Markets|

I'll save the epiphany for the end. QE can work when the Fed is the buyer of last resort and then interest rates slowly go down. The market breathes a sigh of relief and the country can go about their business. But that's not what has happened in this country, especially since Q1 2020. By no means would I ever [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: What Changed?

By |2022-09-19T06:29:13-04:00September 18th, 2022|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

The S&P 500 fell 4.8% last week and is now down 19.4% year-to-date. Bonds were also down with yields up all across the yield curve. Gold was down 2.5% and the GSCI commodity index was down 2.3%. Rate-sensitive REITs were down nearly 6%. The list of what went up last week would be quicker: the dollar, platinum, silver, and some [...]

Is You Is or Is You Ain’t a Bubble?

By |2022-09-19T15:40:44-04:00September 17th, 2022|Economy, Markets|

Monthly closing price for SPY on the 1st day for the month from 2 years prior to a market high to 3 years after that top. The data points are indexed to the starting point 24 months before the market top. I know, I know, it's different this time. It's always different. Different is not a relative measure of anything. [...]

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