Weekly Market Pulse (VIDEO)
With a big run-up in the market last week, Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about what to do if the Bear Market is over and if it isn't.
With a big run-up in the market last week, Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about what to do if the Bear Market is over and if it isn't.
Stocks had a rip snorter of a rally last week and a lot of people are pondering the question in the title over this long weekend. The S&P 500 was down 20.9% from intraday high (4818.62, January 4th) to intraday low (3810.32, May 20th). From that intraday low the market has risen 9.1% in just six trading days. That still [...]
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun responds to pundits who say recession is inevitable. Plus discussion about changes to Alhambra portfolios.
Inevitable adjective incapable of being avoided or evaded I heard that word a lot last week. There is now a fully formed consensus that the US, and indeed the world, now faces an inevitable recession. It can't be avoided. Central banks will have to keep hiking rates because that's the only way to kill inflation. Yes, the inflation is due [...]
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun discusses the craziness of the latest "Free Lunch" investment, plus last week's market and the effects of the dollar, credit spreads, and commodities.
TANSTAAFL is an acronym for "There ain't no such thing as a free lunch". It has been around a long time - Rudyard Kipling used it in an essay in 1891 - but it was popularized by Robert Heinlein's 1966 book, "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress". In economics, it most often refers to tradeoffs or opportunity costs; resources are [...]
Real interest rates have turned positive for the first time in 2 years. Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun describes two big implications for investors. <iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/5fhSGIWC4TA" title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>
Something very important happened last week. No, it had nothing to do with the stock market, at least not directly. There was a lot of volatility in stocks last week but in the end, the S&P 500 was down a mere 21 basis points (0.21%). Yes, growth stocks continued their march toward reality with the NASDAQ 100 down 1.25% but [...]
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun gives his opinion on stagflation, how it's different than it was in the 1970's, last week's negative GDP number, and the importance of sticking to your investment strategy.
Stagflation. It's a word that strikes fear in the hearts of investors, one that evokes memories - for some of us - of bell bottoms, disco, and Jimmy Carter's American malaise. The combination of weak growth and high inflation is the worst of all worlds, one that required a transformational leader and a cigar-chomping central banker to defeat the last [...]
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