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Eurodollar University Episode 168, Part 1: Market Already Declares Powell’s Second Term Over Before It Begins

By |2021-12-01T19:20:16-05:00December 1st, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

168.1 Market says Powell's Second Term Already a Failure———Ep 168.1 Summary———Jay Powell has been nominated by President Biden to serve another term as the Federal Reserve chair. Though his nomination has not even been heard by the US Congress, another group of people has already passed judgement on the second term: the bond market (and they say it'll be a [...]

Eurodollar University Episode 164, Part 3: What’s Wrong W/Money Velocity Is What’s Wrong About Money Supply

By |2021-12-01T19:05:29-05:00November 30th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

164.3 Economists Can't Define Money nor Observe Velocity———Ep 164.3 Summary———M1 and M2 once informed central bank decisions. But the monetary aggregates were so narrowly defined that they were, in effect, mere keyholes that offered policymakers an unsatisfactory, and often-enough misleading, peek into the great monetary hall. ———Ep 164.3 Topics——— 00:00 INTRO: How to define money? What is money velocity? The [...]

Eurodollar University Episode 164, Part 2: The Chinese Have Sent A Specific Message From The CCP’s Sixth Plenum

By |2021-11-29T19:36:51-05:00November 29th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

164.2 Beijing's Sixth Plenum Confirms World Economy Stinks ———Ep 164.2 Summary———Beijing reconfirmed what was made clear in 2017, during the 19th National Party Congress: the economic boom was over and it is time to prepare for it. If anyone in the West would care to listen, the Central Committee is referring not only to China but the entire global economy. ———Ep [...]

Eurodollar University Episode 164, Part 1: From The Only Perspective That Matters (global $s), Inflation Never Had A Chance

By |2021-11-29T17:20:52-05:00November 29th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

164.1 TIC-ked Off About Not Enough Money to Recover Global Economy———Ep 164.1 Summary———America's September 2021 Treasury International Capital data corroborates dis/deflationary indications observed across various sources, the vast majority of which imply there's not enough money, and/or it's inadequately distributed, for the global economy to achieve permanent recovery. ———Ep 164.1 Topics——— 00:00 TIC: Consistent, Coherent, Corroborated, Inflation Never Had A [...]

Eurodollar University Episode 160: A Conversation With Russell Napier

By |2021-11-24T17:27:47-05:00November 24th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

160.0 Interviewing Russell Napier: What the Asian Financial Crisis Wrought———Ep 160.0 Summary———Author, reformed lawyer, economic historian and your man from Belfast, Russell Napier, explains why the 1995-98 Asian Financial Crisis set the stage for the Age of Debt (1999-2020) and the coming Era of Financial Repression (2021-??).———RUSSELL NAPIER BIOGRAPHY———Russell is chairman of the Mid Wynd International Investment Trust a closed [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: Who’s the Sucker?

By |2021-11-22T07:47:01-05:00November 21st, 2021|Alhambra Research, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Stocks|

Look around the poker table. If you can't see the sucker, you're it. Warren Buffett I actually don't know if Warren Buffett was the first to say that and I'm not sure that's exactly the right phrasing. When I sat down to write this I thought it was from Amarillo Slim, a professional gambler from Arkansas. Or maybe that other [...]

Eurodollar University Episode 157, Part 3: Let’s Go Inside A Taper Where You’d Think It’s About Money (but you’d be very, very wrong)

By |2021-11-19T12:54:50-05:00November 19th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

157.3 Will the Next Fed Chair be a Theoretical Grammarist?———Ep 157.3 Summary———The last time the Federal Reserve tapered its QE program the central bank spent HOURS and HOURS and HOURS and HOURS on determining which adjective to us. Adverbs. Dangling participles, onomatopoeia, clauses, subject and object. What was NOT discussed? Money. Credit. Collateral. ———Sponsor——— Macropiece Theater with Emil Kalinowski (a/k/a [...]

Eurodollar University Episode 157, Part 2: Is It Time To Start Thinking About (bond) Landmines?

By |2021-11-18T15:42:23-05:00November 18th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

157.2 The US Treasury Bond Market "Landmine" is Primed———Ep 157.2 Summary———The "landmine" has been part of each of the four global/regional dollar squeezes of the past 14 years (2007-09, 2011-12, 2014-16, 2018-20). The "landmine" is when US Treasury Bond yields decline precipitously and signal that economic potential has been seriously maimed. Where are we in 2021? ———Sponsor——— Macropiece Theater with [...]

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