Market & Economic Analysis

"Study the past if you would devine the future." - Confucius

Saving Jobs Won’t Save Us From Jaws

Mario Draghi’s sunset retirement festivities weren’t supposed to have gone off this way. Celebrated for his July 2012 “promise” to save the euro, he instead spent the entirety of his eight years as President of the ECB chasing inflation and recovery, the very things meant to accomplish the euro’s saving, without success. By the end, his final act in September [...]

By |2020-12-01T17:08:59-05:00December 1st, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Meet the Same New Boss

It was Mervyn King who late last year roiled the delicate sensibilities of the mainstream sense of economic things when he told the truth. Despite all statements proclaiming otherwise, the global economy hadn’t actually recovered at any point before then. King was pointing out only what the data unequivocally showed. Given 2020, it obviously isn’t doing it now, either.What was [...]

By |2020-11-30T19:12:19-05:00November 30th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 37; Part 1: The Case of The (still) Missing Inflation

———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———WHO——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiArt: https://davidparkins.com/ Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski, who is clean-shaven. Artwork by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "The Great Ascension" by Christoffer Moe Ditlevsen at Epidemic Sound. ———WHY——— 37.1 Japan: The Case of [...]

2020 Year-End Financial Checklist

The end of the year is always a good time to do a little financial maintenance, take advantage of last-minute tax deductions, and get your financial house in order for next year. Here’s a checklist of some items to consider.   Tax-Loss Harvesting Do you have losses in your investment portfolio? It may be to your advantage to take them [...]

By |2020-11-30T08:53:03-05:00November 30th, 2020|Markets|

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 36; Part 3: China & Japan, Yen & Yuan, TIC dollars In Between

———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———WHO——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiArt: https://davidparkins.com/ Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski, bond villain moonlighter. Artwork by David Parkins. ———WHY——— 36.3 Are Japanese Banks Propping up the Chinese Yuan?Japanese banks are borrowing from US banks [...]

The Established Slowdown of Today vs. At Least Tomorrow’s Vaccine Is Not The Same ‘Stimulus’

The oil market has caught a mild case of the raging disease. Not COVID, rather the purported cure for it. Vaccine-phoria has visited the energy sector and propelled oil prices upward while pulling less contango in the futures curve, awakening this commodity market from its post-August doldrums. It had been that detour in WTI which began to suggest this summer [...]

By |2020-11-25T18:25:43-05:00November 25th, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 36; Part 2: Labor Crisis

———WHERE——— AlhambraTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB Overcast: https://bit.ly/2YyDsLa PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ———WHO——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiArt: https://davidparkins.com/ Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski, recession roulette player. Artwork by David Parkins. ———WHY——— 36.2 Labor Crisis: Another 742,000 Newly UnemployedAn estimated 742,000 Americans submitted initial claims for unemployment insurance in [...]

Just Who Is, And Who Is Not, Selling T-Bills

Are foreigners selling Treasury bills? If they are, this would seem to merit consideration for the reflation argument. After all, the paramount monetary deficiency exposed by March’s GFC2 (and the Fed’s blatant role in making it worse) was the dangerous degree of shortage over the best collateral. Best collateral means OTR, and for standard practice this had always meant Treasury [...]

By |2020-11-25T14:56:18-05:00November 25th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Treasury Auctions Are Anything But Sorry Because They’ve Never Been Sorry About Solly

Twenty years ago, in November 2000, the Treasury Department changed one aspect of the way the government would sell its own debt. Auctions of these and other kinds of securities had been ongoing for decades, back to the twenties, and they had been transformed many times along the way. In the middle of the 1970’s Great Inflation, for example, Treasury [...]

By |2020-11-24T19:25:22-05:00November 24th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

A Lesson In PMIs: Relative vs. Absolute

The bid for “decoupling” has never been stronger, and, unfortunately, this time actually represents the weakest case yet for it. According to the mainstream interpretations of the most recent sentiment indicators, the US and European economies appear to be going in the complete opposite directions.Beset by even more overreactive governments, spurred oppressively forward by an increase in COVID testing, in [...]

By |2020-11-23T17:23:50-05:00November 23rd, 2020|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|
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