In the last two-and-a-half years inflation has become a four-letter word. For the 40 years before that, inflation had been relatively benign and for a huge percentage of the American public, inflation was something they’d heard about but never really experienced. Today, everyone has seen the effects—the price of gas is almost double, eating out requires a small loan, [...]
The 10 year Treasury yield has been in an uptrend since the summer of 2021 which is obvious to anyone who can see. It has stalled a couple of times and moved sideways - consolidated in Wall Street technical speak - but the trend is obvious (see below). It seems only a matter of time before we break above the [...]
In the last three years, changes in the U.S. employment market have been more rapid than bullets from a machine gun. And just when we thought things were settling down, now the newest, latest trend in employment has emerged. As with all its predecessors, this change is about employee attitude and is driven primarily by Gen Z and Millennials. [...]
The stock market was down a little over 2% last week in what may be the start of a larger correction. Or not. Technically it is easy to make a case for a little more downside to the 50-day moving average, a total pullback of about 5%, and then a resumption of the uptrend. That's what happens in bull markets. [...]
As a kid, I loved watching the Lone Ranger on television. He was the protector of those who couldn’t protect themselves. He stood between good people and the bad guys who wanted to steal their land or their money. The Lone Ranger would defend others when they couldn’t defend themselves. Today, we’re much more sophisticated than the Old West, [...]
You've probably heard the phrase "soft landing" a lot lately. It has, over the last couple of months, become the new economic consensus. The economy continues to perform better than expected despite the Fed raising interest rates steadily - and fairly rapidly - over the last year. The most recent hike was just this past week and put the Fed [...]
The US economy was supposed to be in recession by now, right? The yield curve inverted almost a year ago and a slew of other reliable recession indicators have been flashing red for some time. Why not this time? Could the unprecedented response to COVID be to blame? Joe Calhoun connects the dots in the 7th issue of Follow the Money, [...]
No good deed goes unpunished. And how true that is when the government, at any level, gets involved. The federal government has a full-on press pushing Americans to get rid of their gas cars and trucks and embrace the electric vehicle, although it appears there’s not a rush to be the first one on the block with an EV. Currently, [...]
*This week's Market Pulse will be a short one, as Joe is on a well-deserved weekend getaway. This market rally from the lows of October 2022 continues to surprise and impress. It started off as a very narrow rally where a few big tech names were pushing the S&P 500 higher, but there is much more participation now. This stock [...]
Industrial Production turns negative. Disclaimer: This information is presented for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy any investment products. None of the information herein constitutes an investment recommendation, investment advice or an investment outlook. The opinions and conclusions contained in this report are those of the individual [...]
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