quits

Weekly Market Pulse: The More Things Change, The More The Song Remains The Same

By |2021-03-15T07:45:50-04:00March 14th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

Markets continue to move based on the expectation of a post-virus boom. At least that is the dominant narrative right now. The economy, boosted by another round of stimulus, will surge once the virus is under control and things return to normal. President Biden last week offered his version of optimism by saying that families would be able to gather [...]

Job Openings and JOLTS Crossed Signals

By |2015-11-12T15:26:00-05:00November 12th, 2015|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The updated JOLTS numbers for September just confirmed more nonsense on the part of the BLS. Job openings continue to be all their own while the rest of the data series, even as the whole is indexed to the CES, at best stagnates. On every other count, including hires and quits, there is something drastically different in the US labor [...]

Reconciling Competing Views on Labor ‘Demand’

By |2015-10-20T16:56:47-04:00October 20th, 2015|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The BLS published its updated JOLTS figures for August last week, and while most commentary continues to focus on the ephemeral Job Openings category it shouldn’t. Though Job Openings declined sharply by just about 300,000 in the current estimate (from a slight downward revision of July) it still rates as completely out of alignment with the rest of the JOLTS [...]

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