With inflation recently hitting a high not seen since 1981, it is now apparent that the factors that drove the disinflation trend of the last four decades are coming to an end. Globalization and demographics, the two big factors that combined to hold down prices and wages for so long, are reversing, and so too is the downtrend in prices, wages, [...]
Even in the current market, there are opportunities to invest. Steve Brennan and Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun discuss developing trends, shifts in the stock market, and when it may be time to switch from defense to offense.
What caused the rally in stocks and bonds last week? Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun talks about the CPI numbers, the break in Treasury and Dollar uptrends, interest rates, and lag time to recession.
Is recession coming? When? Can we tell? Steve Brennan and Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun look at specific language from Jerome Powell, if there will be a soft landing, and whether a peak in interest rates gives any indication about the timing of a recession.
One thing I can tell you for certain about last week's big rally on Thursday and Friday: there were a lot of people who desperately wanted a good excuse to buy stocks. And buy they did after a better-than-expected CPI report Thursday morning, pushing the S&P 500 up nearly 6% on the week with all of that coming on Thursday [...]
Everybody is talking about the yield curve today. How good are they at indicating a coming recession and what influences them? Steve Brennan talks about it with Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun.
Is the Fed punishing the middle class? Steve Brennan talks to Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun about the Fed’s focus on killing jobs and stopping wage increases in an attempt to slow inflation. Has the Fed gone too far, too fast?
It’s a myth that an aging population is deflationary. Steve Brennan and Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun look at where the myth came from and the difference between its beginnings and what’s going on today in the United States.
Jerome Powell has said repeatedly that the Fed's goal is to get rates higher and leave them there for an extended period of time. He believes that the mistake of the 70s was that once higher rates snuffed out inflation, the Fed cut rates too quickly and the inflation returned. I think the mistake of the 70s was that, by [...]
Alhambra CEO Joe Calhoun has an opinion on why the market was on a roller coaster after the Fed statement last week; There’s more than one way to calculate the 10/3 yield curve, and don’t put all you hope on a single market indicator.
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