Alhambra Research

Weekly Market Pulse: Buy The Dip, If You Can

By |2021-07-26T08:08:49-04:00July 25th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

If you were waiting for a correction in stock prices to put some money to work, you got your chance last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down nearly 1000 points at the low Monday and closed down 725, a loss of a little over 2%. The S&P 500 did a little better but closed down 1.5%. It looked [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 89, Part 3: Bitcoin’s El Salvador Conundrum Easily Untangled By Realizing the Real Dollar Situation

By |2021-07-23T19:39:59-04:00July 23rd, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

89.3 The Real Reason El Salvador went Crypto———Ep 89.3 Summary———El Salvador announced its crypto intentions seemingly out of the blue. But a closer look reveals the nation had run dangerously short of (euro)dollars in early 2021. It went to the IMF for a bailout. Now it heads to the crypto world for one. Just like people did in the 14th-century. [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 89, Part 2: Let’s Crack China’s RRR Code

By |2021-07-22T19:42:22-04:00July 22nd, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

89.2 China Warns World of (Next?) Dollar Disorder———Ep 89.2 Summary———The People's Bank of China lowers its bank Required Reserve Ratio to get money into a slowing economy. A lowered RRR means that there aren't enough (euro)dollars flowing into China. Why? Because there aren't enough (euro)dollars in the world. A lower RRR is a warning for the whole world. ———See It——— [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 89, Part 1: T-bill Scarcity So Obvious Jay Powell Tells Congress About It

By |2021-07-21T16:50:34-04:00July 21st, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

89.1 Jay Powell Sees Safe-Asset Demand Surge; Why?———Ep 89.1 Summary———Jay Powell has confirmed a surging Fed program (RRP) is partly the result of safe-asset demand. But he plays it off as a monetary technicality, mere arcana. Nope! Safe-asset scarcity is step one along a well-trod path towards a malfunctioning economy. Here's what happens next. ———See It——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiAlhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisLArt: https://davidparkins.com/ ———Hear [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: As Clear As Mud

By |2021-07-19T08:07:27-04:00July 18th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

Is there anyone left out there who doesn't know the rate of economic growth is slowing? The 10-year Treasury yield has fallen 45 basis points since peaking in mid-March. 10-year TIPS yields have fallen by the same amount and now reside below -1% again. Copper prices peaked a little later (early May), fell 16% at the recent low, and are [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 88, Part 3: Looking Forward

By |2021-07-16T19:09:01-04:00July 16th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

88.3 PMIs: The Economy's Forward Looking Indicators ———Ep 88.3 Summary———A review of US, Chinese and global purchasing manager indices for manufacturing and services shows just a few too many "not great" readings. Not necessarily bad but within the context of HUGE 'money printing' and GIGA deficit blowouts shouldn't the economy be rip-roaring? ———See It——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiAlhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisLArt: https://davidparkins.com/ ———Hear It——— Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 88, Part 2: Reversal of Fortunes, and Global Interest Rates from Japan to Germany and a Bunch In Between

By |2021-07-15T19:30:14-04:00July 15th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

88.2 Germany's Economy Wobbles - Are We Next? ———Ep 88.2 Summary———The yields on German sovereign bonds began to tumble in May - now we know why. German Factory Orders and Industrial Production delivered lousy results that month. Germany is an export power so these negatives say a lot about the global customer - that's us. ———See It——— Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPTwitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiAlhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisLArt: https://davidparkins.com/ [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 88, Part 1: What Eurodollar Curve Quirks Say About Inflation and the Future

By |2021-07-14T17:25:39-04:00July 14th, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

88.1 Uh Oh! The Eurodollar Has Inverted (Again) ———Ep 88.1 Summary———When the US Treasury yield curve inverts it is a warning that recession is on the horizon. What about when the Eurodollar Futures yield curve rolls over on its back? Not good news either. Would you believe that there's a kink in the curve now? Would you believe it's not [...]

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