Bonds

“Support”

By |2020-05-12T19:50:23-04:00May 12th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

They merely repeat the words, as it is intended. With major fanfare and widespread praise, the Federal Reserve weeks ago had announced it was going to buy corporate bonds. Well, not actual bonds but ETFs. It hasn’t bought a single one of those, either, at least not until today and yet the program is being assigned the usual magical properties. [...]

A Big One For The Big “D”

By |2020-05-12T18:14:45-04:00May 12th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

From a monetary policy perspective, smooth is what you are aiming for. What central bankers want in this age of expectations management is for a little bit of steady inflation. Why not zero? Because, they decided, policymakers need some margin of error. Since there is no money in monetary policy, it takes time for oblique “stimulus” signals to feed into [...]

Operation sulfatos

By |2020-05-11T16:59:09-04:00May 11th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The military phase was an all-out joke. Carlos Castillo Armas had fewer than 500 men as his “invasion” force. Yet, with only that many he had expected to take back the entire country. More surprisingly, he succeeded. Lt. Colonel Armas had previously participated in the 1944 Guatemala uprising that had forced Jorge Ubico from power. As a supporter and close [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 7: The Anti-Weimar

By |2020-05-11T12:52:39-04:00May 11th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

iTunes: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Google-cast: https://shorturl.at/fpsEJ Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Alhambra-tube: https://youtu.be/S1qjswZdisM Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski Art: https://davidparkins.com/   [Emil's Summary] The monetary system is missing of money. Expectation of its return is no longer enough; actual recreation of modern money is needed. That job belongs to the private sector, the banks. It was true of the 1930s, and true of present day.Quantitative easing, [...]

Everyone Knows The Gov’t Wants A ‘Controlled’ Weimar

By |2020-05-06T19:37:25-04:00May 6th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

There are two parts behind the inflation mongering. The first, noted yesterday, is the Fed’s balance sheet, particularly its supposedly monetary remainder called bank reserves. The central bank is busy doing something, a whole bunch of something, therefore how can it possibly turn out to be anything other than inflationary?The answer: the Federal Reserve is not a central bank, not [...]

Weimar Thirties Didn’t Happen Because It’s What You Don’t See

By |2020-05-05T20:33:28-04:00May 5th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It was an absolutely mad scramble. Banking difficulties in the Fed’s sixth district, the Atlanta branch, had sparked an irresistible wave of panic which spread throughout the Eastern seaboard. By December 1930, it had reached the streets of New York City – the world’s monetary capital. On December 11, customer withdrawals had left the Bank of the United States with [...]

Synchronized, Like A Cheap Imported Suit

By |2020-05-05T16:16:03-04:00May 5th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Trading partners like Mexico didn’t have a labor participation problem by which to hide the economic downturn last year. The whole idea of “decoupling” in the 2018 sense of the word was how the US economy, by virtue of its 50-year low unemployment rate, couldn’t possibly be as weak as it increasingly appeared overseas. The US was good, they kept [...]

Weimar Ben Didn’t Happen, So Now Weimar Jay?

By |2020-05-04T17:26:01-04:00May 4th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Anna Jacobson Schwartz often gets buried under the mountains of study Milton Friedman conducted on his own. Contrary to what some, perhaps many, might think, Friedman didn’t write A Monetary History by himself. Anna Schwartz was his co-author for what would become one of the most important volumes of economic scholarship of the entire 20th century.Pretty much every central bank [...]

Eurodollar University’s Making Sense; Episode 6: Shocking (to some) Fragility

By |2020-05-04T15:30:05-04:00May 4th, 2020|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

iTunes: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Google-cast: https://shorturl.at/fpsEJ Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY   Alhambra-tube: below   SUMMARY  Hubris. It will get us to the stars but seduce us into believing we belong there. Today, monetary authorities suffer it, believing they can manage the nonlinearity, emergence, spontaneous order, adaptation and feedback loops of the unraveling. DESCRIPTION In 1929 a plague struck Florida resulting in an overwhelming government response. [...]

Being Forced To Be More Precise About The Most Serious Terms

By |2020-05-01T18:49:36-04:00May 1st, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

He called it “unfair competition.” That’s one way to describe it, surely not the proper way. But who could blame the guy? After all, these were not normal times though at the time hardly anyone had yet realized it.James J. Davis was the second person to hold the title Secretary of Labor. Appointed by Warren Harding, he began his tenure [...]

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